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Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co (300930) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY

HY Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co 300930 · SHE
Price¥25.25
Fair Value¥9.57
Upside-62.1%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.29% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.27 – ¥11.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −5.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.30 ¥12.55 Fair Value ¥9.57 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.55 – ¥42.30 · fair‑value band ¥7.27 – ¥11.97 · the ¥25.25 price screens above the ¥9.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co (300930) currently trades at ¥25.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.57, implying the stock looks roughly 62.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co generated revenue of 874M CNY at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 62.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 218M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.27 (bear case) to ¥11.97 (bull case); at ¥25.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -62%, 300930 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.21 ¥7.41 ¥7.40 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.48 ¥7.51 ¥8.40 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.02 ¥15.74 ¥20.46 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥7.66 ¥17.00 ¥35.90 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.83 ¥26.71 ¥37.48 54
Lynch FV ¥9.10 ¥13.00 ¥16.90 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.10 ¥13.00 ¥16.90 46
EPV ¥6.48 ¥7.51 ¥8.40 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.18 ¥9.57 ¥11.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.18 ¥9.57 ¥11.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.18 ¥9.57 ¥11.97 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.32 ¥11.11 ¥13.89 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.87 ¥13.17 ¥16.47 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.21 ¥10.31 ¥13.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.64 ¥6.22 ¥9.28 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.21 ¥7.41 ¥7.40 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.48 ¥7.51 ¥8.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.02 ¥15.74 ¥20.46 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥17.00) versus Asset-Based (¥6.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 874M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +62.5%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow −143M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 57.5
More key figures
Operating margin 8.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6000
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.6%
Net debt 218M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co., LTD manufactures iron-based powder products in China. The company offers water-atomized iron, phosphorus-containing alloy steel, Mo-containing pre-alloyed steel, free-cutting steel, stainless steel, sinter-hardening steel, diffusion non-alloy steel, Ni-Mo low-alloy steel, water-atomized pure iron, and ultrafine iron …

Full company description

Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co., LTD manufactures iron-based powder products in China. The company offers water-atomized iron, phosphorus-containing alloy steel, Mo-containing pre-alloyed steel, free-cutting steel, stainless steel, sinter-hardening steel, diffusion non-alloy steel, Ni-Mo low-alloy steel, water-atomized pure iron, and ultrafine iron powders, as well as non-segregation mixed powders, welding materials, smelting additives, diamond matrix materials, and magnetic series products. Its products are used in transportation, household appliances, power tools, construction machinery, and medical equipment. The company was formerly known as Jiande Yitong Metal Powder Co., Ltd. Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co., LTD was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co reported revenue of ¥777M in FY2025 versus ¥522M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥56.3M in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
777M CNY
Latest YoY
+54.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+21.8%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 ¥522M
FY22 ¥387M
FY23 ¥393M
FY24 ¥502M
FY25 ¥777M
Net income −12.5%/yr
FY21 ¥96.2M
FY22 ¥91.6M
FY23 ¥50.5M
FY24 ¥50.9M
FY25 ¥56.3M

300930 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300930

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 63% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 57.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.95× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 26 · sector 0
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 6 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co (300930) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.57 versus a price of ¥25.25, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300930?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co is ¥9.57 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥25.25.
What is the quality score of 300930?
Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co (300930)?
Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 874M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300930?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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