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Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100004KT6

SU Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd.

300983 · SHE

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥7.61 · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 61/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −28.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -59.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥56.76 ¥14.36 Fair Value ¥7.61 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.36 – ¥56.76 · fair‑value band ¥7.30 – ¥8.32 · the ¥38.06 price screens above the ¥7.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co., Ltd. engages in the architectural design business in China. It is also involved in architectural design consultation business; and architectural planning and conceptual design consulting business. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983) currently trades at ¥38.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.61, implying the stock looks roughly 400.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥10.73 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥38.06 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥5.35, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥7.30 (bear) to ¥8.32 (bull), the price of ¥38.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 170M CNY in FY2025 versus 955M CNY in FY2021, a compound −35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −85.6M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.6B CNY (≈ $981M) · P/S ratio 43.1 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5000 · Net margin −50.4% · Return on equity −3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin −46.4% · Revenue (TTM) 144M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300983 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥7.30 Fair Value ¥7.61 Bull ¥8.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥8.55 ¥10.02 ¥12.66 80
Growth DCF ¥8.72 ¥10.14 ¥12.49 77
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.45 ¥6.79 ¥7.25 74
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.55 ¥10.02 ¥12.66 80
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.81 ¥7.42 ¥8.30 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.45 ¥6.79 ¥7.25 74
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.46 ¥7.97 ¥8.47 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.27 ¥7.59 ¥7.87 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥5.15 ¥5.35 ¥5.56 64
EV/Revenue ¥5.76 ¥6.29 ¥6.82 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.01 ¥10.73 ¥16.01 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.72 ¥10.14 ¥12.49 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.81 ¥7.52 ¥8.43 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.8%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
38.7% (2020) → −12.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

300983 screens 400% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 821 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −60% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −53% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.42× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 12.3× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $650.58 $163.08 −75%
Vinci SA DG €111.45 €185.62 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,691 $1,114 −34%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,915 ₹2,196 −44%
Ferrovial N.V FER €48.03 €19.17 −60%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €416.20 €203.87 −51%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −29%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €98.25 €75.04 −24%
EMCOR Group EME $780.66 $518.51 −34%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668 ¥4.35 ¥17.35 +299%

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Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. · Fair Value
¥7.61 −400%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300983

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.61 versus a price of ¥38.06, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300983?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is ¥7.61 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥38.06.
What is the quality score of 300983?
Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.61 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.30, optimistic scenario ¥8.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.61, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥38.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.30, optimistic scenario ¥8.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 144M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +38.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -28.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300983 use?
Our models discount Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. that is +38.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. grew -28.8 % a year. The price currently implies +38.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (+38.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.14 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. it is ¥7.61 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥38.06. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 300983 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥38.06, fair value ¥7.61, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300983?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥38.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.61). For Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. the two are ¥30.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. at about 6.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥38.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300983?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥7.30, base ¥7.61, optimistic ¥8.32 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥38.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −3.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300983 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. trades at ¥38.06, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥52.66 and 101% above the low of ¥18.98 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥38.06, calculated fair value ¥7.61 (−80%), Quality Score 61/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300983 calculated?
We run Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥7.30 to ¥8.32), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is 6.6B CNY (≈ $981M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is 43.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.5000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
The net margin of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is −50.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is −3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is −46.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Revenue at Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. is growing −52.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −30.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. (300983)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co. Ltd. are growing −4.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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