Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co (300985) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥21.06 to ¥53.92 (+156.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −40.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥28.70 to ¥79.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.40 – ¥56.47 · fair‑value band ¥28.70 – ¥79.01 · the ¥33.70 price screens below the ¥53.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co (300985) currently trades at ¥33.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥53.92, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of -3.1%. Revenue grew 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.8%. Net debt stands at 678M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥28.70 (bear case) to ¥79.01 (bull case); at ¥33.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 60%, 300985 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.14) versus Multiples (¥0.4600). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of vehicle-mounted liquefied natural gas (LNG) gas supply systems and marine LNG fuel gas supply systems in China and internationally.
Full company description
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of vehicle-mounted liquefied natural gas (LNG) gas supply systems and marine LNG fuel gas supply systems in China and internationally. The company provides vehicle-mounted LNG gas, marine gas, and LNG barge bunkering systems; cryogenic storage tanks; welded insulated gas cylinders; small low temperature gas supply tanks; and LNG refrigerated liquefied gas tank containers. Its products are used in heavy trucks, engineering vehicles, other commercial vehicles, and inland water transport ships. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Changchun, China. Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Changchun Huifeng Automotive Gear Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥394M in FY2021, a compound +44.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥42.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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