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Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co (301020) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

YI Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co 301020 · SHE
Price¥20.40
Fair Value¥12.48
Upside-38.8%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.34% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.52 – ¥14.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥41.20 ¥11.08 Fair Value ¥12.48 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.08 – ¥41.20 · fair‑value band ¥9.52 – ¥14.83 · the ¥20.40 price screens above the ¥12.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co (301020) currently trades at ¥20.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.48, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co generated revenue of 573M CNY at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 560M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.52 (bear case) to ¥14.83 (bull case); at ¥20.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -39%, 301020 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥9.05 ¥11.20 ¥14.14 80
Residual Income ¥5.67 ¥6.16 ¥7.60 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.84 ¥11.55 ¥14.64 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.97 ¥11.41 ¥14.94 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.66 ¥10.94 ¥14.24 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.84 ¥11.54 ¥14.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.66 ¥13.06 ¥16.99 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.30 ¥16.11 ¥21.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.70 ¥11.13 ¥14.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.35 ¥12.16 ¥15.85 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.37 ¥14.23 ¥18.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.11 ¥12.39 ¥16.42 54
Lynch FV ¥2.64 ¥3.77 ¥4.90 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.64 ¥3.77 ¥4.90 46
EPV ¥8.80 ¥9.53 ¥10.15 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.72 ¥5.43 ¥8.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.72 ¥4.36 ¥5.73 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.52 ¥12.70 ¥15.87 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.73 ¥7.64 ¥9.55 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.71 ¥10.28 ¥12.85 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.80 ¥14.33 ¥16.86 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.80 ¥13.00 ¥15.20 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.01 ¥11.07 ¥13.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.34 ¥4.48 ¥6.69 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.05 ¥11.20 ¥14.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.84 ¥11.55 ¥14.64 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.67 ¥6.16 ¥7.60 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.09 ¥10.29 ¥11.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.79 ¥11.12 ¥14.46 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.54) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 573M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4%
Net margin 16.0%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow 65.3M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 40.0
More key figures
Operating margin 19.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6200
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net cash 560M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells automotive parts in China and internationally. The company provides sealing gaskets, heat insulation shields, sealing fiberboards, metal coated boards and other sealing products, and materials which are used in automobiles, generator sets, construction machinery, motorcycles, shipbuilding, …

Full company description

Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells automotive parts in China and internationally. The company provides sealing gaskets, heat insulation shields, sealing fiberboards, metal coated boards and other sealing products, and materials which are used in automobiles, generator sets, construction machinery, motorcycles, shipbuilding, general machinery, refrigeration, and petrochemicals industries. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Yantai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co reported revenue of ¥559M in FY2025 versus ¥495M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥88.5M in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
559M CNY
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+7.7%
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY21 ¥495M
FY22 ¥404M
FY23 ¥512M
FY24 ¥527M
FY25 ¥559M
Net income −1.1%/yr
FY21 ¥92.6M
FY22 ¥64.6M
FY23 ¥72.4M
FY24 ¥81.9M
FY25 ¥88.5M

301020 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301020

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 29.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 37 · sector 35
PAST 37 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co (301020) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.48 versus a price of ¥20.40, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301020?
Our model-based fair value for Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co is ¥12.48 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.40.
What is the quality score of 301020?
Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co (301020)?
Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 573M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301020?
The net profit margin of Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co is about 16.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co pay a dividend?
Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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