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Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co (301066) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

HW Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co 301066 · SHE
Price¥12.30
Fair Value¥2.65
Upside-78.4%
Quality29/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.99 – ¥3.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.27 ¥6.95 Fair Value ¥2.65 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range ¥6.95 – ¥25.27 · fair‑value band ¥1.99 – ¥3.32 · the ¥12.30 price screens above the ¥2.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co (301066) currently trades at ¥12.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.65, implying the stock looks roughly 78.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co generated revenue of 749M CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 84.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.99 (bear case) to ¥3.32 (bull case); at ¥12.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -78%, 301066 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.82 ¥3.65 ¥2.94 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.91 ¥4.09 ¥4.24 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.65 ¥2.36 ¥3.07 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9700 ¥1.70 ¥2.09 54
EPV ¥3.91 ¥4.09 ¥4.24 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.34 ¥3.12 ¥3.90 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.81 ¥2.41 ¥3.02 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.81 ¥2.41 ¥3.02 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.89 ¥5.58 ¥6.27 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.12 ¥5.89 ¥6.66 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.21 ¥4.81 ¥5.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.71 ¥3.63 ¥5.42 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.82 ¥3.65 ¥2.94 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.91 ¥4.09 ¥4.24 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.65 ¥2.36 ¥3.07 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥3.65) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.70). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 749M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.6%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow −54.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 84.4
More key figures
Operating margin 6.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1600
Dividend yield 0.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 1
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures Chinese silk cultural, silk ornaments, and silk artworks in China. Its products include silk scarves, pajamas, home textiles, neckties, silk masks, and gifts. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co reported revenue of ¥716M in FY2025 versus ¥670M in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥33.4M in FY2025, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
716M CNY
Latest YoY
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
−0.3%
Revenue +1.7%/yr
FY21 ¥670M
FY22 ¥549M
FY23 ¥692M
FY24 ¥668M
FY25 ¥716M
Net income −10.0%/yr
FY21 ¥50.9M
FY22 −¥1.6M
FY23 ¥34.7M
FY24 ¥35.1M
FY25 ¥33.4M

301066 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301066

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 84.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 54.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 93 · sector 0
PAST 15 · sector 14
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co (301066) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.65 versus a price of ¥12.30, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301066?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co is ¥2.65 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.30.
What is the quality score of 301066?
Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co (301066)?
Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 749M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301066?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Wensli Silk Culture Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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