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Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co (301096) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 6.0B CNY

HB Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co 301096 · SHE
Price¥44.68
Fair Value¥13.18
Upside-70.5%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -7.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥8.95 – ¥17.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −15.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥8.95 to ¥17.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥98.58 ¥31.87 Fair Value ¥13.18 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range ¥31.87 – ¥98.58 · fair‑value band ¥8.95 – ¥17.40 · the ¥44.68 price screens above the ¥13.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co (301096) currently trades at ¥44.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.18, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co generated revenue of 710M CNY at a net margin of -7.2%. Revenue grew 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.0%. Net debt stands at 408M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.95 (bear case) to ¥17.40 (bull case); at ¥44.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -71%, 301096 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥13.62 ¥17.85 ¥22.08 54
NCAV (Graham) ¥11.39 ¥15.27 ¥22.79 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥13.62 ¥17.85 ¥22.08 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥11.39 ¥15.27 ¥22.79 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥17.85) versus Asset-Based (¥15.27). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 710M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.6%
Net margin -7.2%
Return on equity -2.0%
Free cash flow −253M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 7.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4700
EPS growth (YoY) -56.0%
Net debt 408M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co.,Ltd. operates as a pharmaceutical technology research and development and services company in China.

Full company description

Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co.,Ltd. operates as a pharmaceutical technology research and development and services company in China. The company primarily provides drug research and development services; and the transformation of research and development technology results for various pharmaceutical, as well as pharmaceutical research and development investment companies. Its business covers the principal links of drug discovery, pharmaceutical research, clinical trials, customized research and development and production, and registration applications. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co reported revenue of ¥678M in FY2025 versus ¥374M in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥90.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
678M CNY
Latest YoY
−15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+26.7%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+27.7%
Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 ¥374M
FY22 ¥607M
FY23 ¥1.0B
FY24 ¥802M
FY25 ¥678M
Net income
FY21 ¥111M
FY22 ¥194M
FY23 ¥272M
FY24 −¥52.7M
FY25 −¥90.4M

301096 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301096

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 50
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $257.59 $169.04 -34%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €226.68 -42%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,251 MXN +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co (301096) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.18 versus a price of ¥44.68, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301096?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co is ¥13.18 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥44.68.
What is the quality score of 301096?
Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co (301096)?
Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 710M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301096?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Bio-Sincerity Pharma-Tech Co is about -7.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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