Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. ¥3.02, price ¥24.13, upside -87.5%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ¥11.29 – ¥67.97 · fair‑value band ¥2.70 – ¥3.30 · the ¥24.13 price screens above the ¥3.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of new chemical materials.
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Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and service of new chemical materials. It provides chlorinated products, such as sodium chlorate, alkali, liquid chlorine, and hydrochloric acid; and vulcanizing products, including fuming and reagent sulphuric acid, sulfamic acid, sodium pyrosulfite, sodium sulfite, and magnesium sulphate heptahydrate. The company also offers chemicals and materials comprising calcium aluminum hydrotalcite, cysteamine hydrochloride, amino sulfonic acid, germanium oxide, and zone melting germanium ingot, as well as refined acid and magnesium sulfate fertilizer. In addition, it provides sulfur solid waste treatment services, as well as engages in development of environmental protection technology. Further, it provides products to various parts of Jiangxi Province, Inner Mongolia, Sichuan, Guizhou, etc., as well as exports to the European Union, Southeast Asia, Japan, South Korea, Russia, and other countries. The company was formerly known as Hunan New Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2008 and is based in Huaihua, China. Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hunan Hongjiang Hengguang Investment Management Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118) currently trades at ¥24.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.02, 87.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥8.09 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥24.13 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.80, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.70 (bear) to ¥3.30 (bull), the price of ¥24.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 933M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −15.5M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B CNY (≈ $485M) · P/E ratio 804.3 · P/S ratio 2.11 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −1.0% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −87%, 301118 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.70Fair Value ¥3.02Bull ¥3.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0226 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.6% (2020) → 2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 341 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)804.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.11× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA20.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)49· sector 61
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.02 versus a price of ¥24.13, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301118?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is ¥3.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥24.13.
What is the quality score of 301118?
Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.70, optimistic scenario ¥3.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.02, about −87% upside versus a price of ¥24.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.70, optimistic scenario ¥3.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. it is ¥3.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥24.13. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301118 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥24.13, fair value ¥3.02, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301118?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥24.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.02). For Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. the two are ¥21.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. at about 3.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥24.13; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301118?
Our models span a range for Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥2.70, base ¥3.02, optimistic ¥3.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥24.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301118 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. trades at ¥24.13, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥36.88 and 33% above the low of ¥18.10 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥24.13, calculated fair value ¥3.02 (−87%), Quality Score 44/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301118 calculated?
We run Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥24.13. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.02, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The market capitalisation of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 3.2B CNY (≈ $485M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 804.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 2.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. are ¥0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 804.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The dividend yield of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The net margin of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is −1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
The operating margin of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Revenue at Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is growing +9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. are growing +473% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118) generate?
The free cash flow of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is −222M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. (301118) carry?
The net debt of Hunan Hengguang Technology Co.Ltd. is 87.5M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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