Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥9.50, price ¥43.55, upside -78.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range ¥17.59 – ¥76.63 · fair‑value band ¥6.85 – ¥9.50 · the ¥43.55 price screens above the ¥9.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Chengdu Qushui Science and Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes home furniture.
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Chengdu Qushui Science and Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes home furniture. It offers upholstered and wooden furniture, such as mattresses, sofas, and soft beds; wooden furniture, including solid wood beds, coffee tables, combination cabinets, dining table and chairs, and bedside cabinets; smart home comprising smart electric bed and sofa; and other products. The company also provides home textile which includes pillows, quilts, four-piece sets, and other products. Chengdu Qushui Science and Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2014 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Stock analysis
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336) currently trades at ¥43.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.50, implying the stock looks roughly 358.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥10.77 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥43.55 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥3.81, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥6.85 (bear) to ¥9.50 (bull), the price of ¥43.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 341M CNY in FY2025 versus 473M CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was 30.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −18.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.3B CNY (≈ $338M) · P/E ratio 79.2 · P/S ratio 7.09 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −78%, 301336 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6.85Fair Value ¥9.50Bull ¥9.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2621 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
’19
’20
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301336
Frequently asked questions
Is Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.50 versus a price of ¥43.55, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301336?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥9.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥43.55.
What is the quality score of 301336?
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.85, optimistic scenario ¥9.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.50, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥43.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.85, optimistic scenario ¥9.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 309M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301336 use?
Our models discount Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A grew -6.6 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.20 %: that much free cash flow Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥9.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥43.55. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301336 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥43.55, fair value ¥9.50, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301336?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥43.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.50). For Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥34.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 2.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥43.55; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301336?
Our models span a range for Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥6.85, base ¥9.50, optimistic ¥9.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥43.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301336?
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 79.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥9.50 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301336 from its 52-week high?
Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥43.55, about 12% below its 52-week high of ¥49.67 and 25% above the low of ¥34.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥43.55, calculated fair value ¥9.50 (−78%), Quality Score 57/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301336 calculated?
We run Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥9.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥43.55. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.50, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The market capitalisation of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 2.3B CNY (≈ $338M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 7.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Earnings per share at Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.5500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 79.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The dividend yield of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.4% (payout 35.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The net margin of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 9.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
The operating margin of Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Revenue at Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing −42.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A (301336)?
Earnings per share at Chengdu Qushui Science & Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing −16.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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