Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co (301345) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 22.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥132.80 to ¥127.26 (−4.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥95.44 to ¥329.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range ¥41.04 – ¥282.45 · fair‑value band ¥95.44 – ¥329.45 · the ¥253.73 price screens above the ¥127.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co (301345) currently trades at ¥253.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥127.26, implying the stock looks roughly 49.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co generated revenue of 4.4B CNY at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 65.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.9%. Net debt stands at 82.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥95.44 (bear case) to ¥329.45 (bull case); at ¥253.73, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 176% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -50%, 301345 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥272.70) versus Asset-Based (¥22.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of all-terrain vehicles, motorcycles, and electric vehicles in China, the United States, Canada, Europe, South America, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.
Full company description
Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of all-terrain vehicles, motorcycles, and electric vehicles in China, the United States, Canada, Europe, South America, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia. It offers electric scooter, bike, ATV, and golf cart; and gasoline ATV, dirt bike, go kart, side-by-side, and snowmobile. The company also provides professional, and OEM and ODM services. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Lishui, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co reported revenue of ¥3.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥816M in FY2025, compounding +35.4%/yr from FY2021.
301345 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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