Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co. Ltd. A (301373) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 18.5B CNY (≈ $2.8B) · ISIN CNE100006269
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥14.15 to ¥13.26 (−6.3%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +43.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 781% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range ¥18.18 – ¥195.17 · fair‑value band ¥12.46 – ¥16.36 · the ¥116.80 price screens above the ¥13.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co. Ltd. A (301373) currently trades at ¥116.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.26, implying the stock looks roughly 88.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co. Ltd. A generated revenue of 539M CNY at a net margin of 26.7%. Revenue grew 35.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 87.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.46 (bear case) to ¥16.36 (bull case); at ¥116.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 381% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -89%, 301373 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥18.96) versus Growth DCF (¥3.80). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and technical servicing of nano-silica products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and technical servicing of nano-silica products in China and internationally. The company offers matting agents for leather coating, UV coating, coil coating, inks, textile coating, and high-grade wood coating; water-based, A series cost efficient, and TSA series universal matting agents; HS series industrial coatings; and silica for alumite and solar module back sheets. It provides ink-jet printing absorbents, such as nanoLWE alumina, absorbent for ink receptive coating, and fine silica filler; anti-blocking agent, including silica for plastic masterbatch; and anti-corrosive pigment comprising ion-exchanged anti-corrosive pigment, as well as organic, special treatment, and non-treated surface treatment products. Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Lingwe Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of ¥500M in FY2025 versus ¥409M in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥137M in FY2025, compounding +19.4%/yr from FY2021.
301373 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 343 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASF | 18,822 HUF | 8,592 HUF | -54% |
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | -63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | -76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥23.43 | ¥20.17 | -14% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.33 | $21.03 | -31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | -48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | -83% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥78.04 | ¥20.99 | -73% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | -15% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥54.13 | ¥16.17 | -70% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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