Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. stock ¥25.60, price ¥31.19, that is 17.9% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range ¥30.14 – ¥63.66 · fair‑value band ¥19.41 – ¥31.79 · the ¥31.19 price screens above the ¥25.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells screws, barrels, and tie bars worldwide.
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It offers HY1 sintered barrels, screws, and small pieces; barrels and screws for injection molding machines; single and twin screws, and barrels for extrusion machines; screws and barrels for rubber machines; and accessories of screws and barrels, including heads, nozzles, hinge pins, and screw tip assemblies.
The company provides tie bars and accessories; and high injection speed and high injection pressure optical, high-efficient color mixing, PVC and PET special, and packaging products series products, as well as PTA bimetallic and PVD coating screws.
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Zhoushan, China.
Stock analysis
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616) currently trades at ¥31.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.60, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥41.31 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥31.19 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥5.53, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥19.41 (bear) to ¥31.79 (bull), the price of ¥31.19 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 970M CNY in FY2025 versus 808M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 197M CNY in FY2025, compounding +19.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $374M) Small · P/E ratio 36.3 · P/S ratio 7.36 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8600 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 20.3% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −18%, 301616 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥19.41Fair Value ¥25.60Bull¥31.79
Price ¥31.19 · Downside -17.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3945 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥16.04¥18.27¥24.6976
EPV¥14.29¥15.53¥16.5474
ROIC Compounder¥14.29¥15.53¥16.5472
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥16.73¥65.92¥89.5064
Lynch FV¥16.28¥23.25¥30.2361
PEG = 1.0¥16.28¥23.25¥30.2357
EPV¥14.29¥15.53¥16.5474
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥3.32¥5.71¥7.5668
DDM Multi-Stage¥3.32¥5.35¥6.1367
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥38.75¥51.67¥64.5863
P/S Multiple¥18.19¥24.25¥30.3258
P/B Multiple¥55.43¥73.91¥92.3855
EV/EBIT¥20.00¥26.33¥32.6666
EV/EBITDA¥22.84¥30.12¥37.4067
EV/Revenue¥14.57¥20.38¥26.1954
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥5.68¥8.60¥10.7554
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥16.04¥18.27¥24.6976
ROIC Compounder¥14.29¥15.53¥16.5472
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥28.92¥41.31¥53.7167
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +7.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 12%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 81% above its own trend.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−17.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.4% · Above median
Return on assets10.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)19.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)7.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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Is Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥25.60 versus a price of ¥31.19, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301616?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is ¥25.60 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥31.19.
What is the quality score of 301616?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥25.60 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥19.41, optimistic scenario ¥31.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥25.60, about 18% lower versus a price of ¥31.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥19.41, optimistic scenario ¥31.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 960M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.28% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.4 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 18, 2026. The payout ratio is 46.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. it is ¥25.60 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of ¥31.19. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 301616 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥31.19, fair value ¥25.60, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301616?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥31.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥25.60). For Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. the two are ¥5.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. at about 2.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥31.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥25.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301616?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥19.41, base ¥25.60, optimistic ¥31.79 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price ¥31.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301616?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.3 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥25.60 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 13.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301616 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. trades at ¥31.19, about 45% below its 52-week high of ¥56.46 and 3% above the low of ¥30.14 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥25.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price ¥31.19, calculated fair value ¥25.60 (−18%), Quality Score 38/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301616 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥25.60 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥31.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥25.60, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. right now?
Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 2.5B CNY (≈ $374M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 7.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. are ¥0.8600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 1.3% (payout 46.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 20.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is growing −1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. are growing −28.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. is −146M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. (301616) hold?
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 81.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Nov 3, 2026