Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co (301616) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥31.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range ¥31.92 – ¥63.66 · fair‑value band ¥19.41 – ¥31.79 · the ¥35.60 price screens above the ¥25.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co (301616) currently trades at ¥35.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.60, implying the stock looks roughly 28.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co generated revenue of 964M CNY at a net margin of 20.2%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 81.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥19.41 (bear case) to ¥31.79 (bull case); at ¥35.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -28%, 301616 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥41.31) versus Dividend Discount (¥6.92). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells screws, barrels, and tie bars worldwide. It offers HY1 sintered barrels, screws, and small pieces; barrels and screws for injection molding machines; single and twin screws, and barrels for extrusion machines; screws and barrels for rubber machines; and accessories of screws and barrels, …
Full company description
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells screws, barrels, and tie bars worldwide. It offers HY1 sintered barrels, screws, and small pieces; barrels and screws for injection molding machines; single and twin screws, and barrels for extrusion machines; screws and barrels for rubber machines; and accessories of screws and barrels, including heads, nozzles, hinge pins, and screw tip assemblies. The company provides tie bars and accessories; and high injection speed and high injection pressure optical, high-efficient color mixing, PVC and PET special, and packaging products series products, as well as PTA bimetallic and PVD coating screws. Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Zhoushan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Huaye Plastics Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥970M in FY2025 versus ¥808M in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥197M in FY2025, compounding +19.7%/yr from FY2021.
301616 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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