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Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Eastern Province Cement Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · SA · ISIN SA0007879527

EP Broad data Sep 13, 2026

Eastern Province Cement Co.

3080 · SR

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

Fair value 27.72 SAR · Undervalued (+11%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 16.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/13)
!Moderate moat 58/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

41.77 SAR 14.62 SAR Fair Value 27.72 SAR Mar 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.62 SAR – 41.77 SAR · fair‑value band 23.24 SAR – 43.70 SAR · the 24.90 SAR price screens below the 27.72 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Eastern Province Cement Company produces and sells clinker and cement products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through two segments, Cement and Precast. The company offers ordinary Portland, sulphate-resisting, finishing, ordinary, salt-resistant, and clinker cement products.

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Eastern Province Cement Company produces and sells clinker and cement products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through two segments, Cement and Precast. The company offers ordinary Portland, sulphate-resisting, finishing, ordinary, salt-resistant, and clinker cement products. It also provides partitions, frames, and prefabricated buildings made from prefabricated concrete. In addition, the company engages in the operation of quarries; mining of gypsum and anhydrite; and wholesale of cement and gypsum. The company was formerly known as Saudi-Kuwaiti Cement Company and changed its name to Eastern Province Cement Company in 1994. Eastern Province Cement Company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Dammam, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080) currently trades at 24.90 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.72 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 37.99 SAR per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the 24.90 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 18.24 SAR, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 23.24 SAR (bear) to 43.70 SAR (bull), the price of 24.90 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Eastern Province Cement Co. reported revenue of 1.3B SAR in FY2025 versus 758M SAR in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was 202M SAR in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.1B SAR (≈ $570M) · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) 2.47 SAR · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 16.0% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 11%, 3080 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 23.24 SAR Fair Value 27.72 SAR Bull 43.70 SAR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.32 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 22.89 SAR 24.73 SAR 28.58 SAR 76
EPV 21.22 SAR 24.86 SAR 28.00 SAR 74
ROIC Compounder 21.22 SAR 24.86 SAR 28.56 SAR 72
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 15.97 SAR 40.10 SAR 52.06 SAR 65
PEG = 1.0 7.37 SAR 10.52 SAR 13.68 SAR 57
EPV 21.22 SAR 24.86 SAR 28.00 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.02 SAR 25.57 SAR 40.44 SAR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 14.02 SAR 20.90 SAR 28.06 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 29.95 SAR 39.93 SAR 49.91 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 16.51 SAR 22.01 SAR 27.51 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 29.95 SAR 39.93 SAR 49.91 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 28.04 SAR 37.99 SAR 47.95 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 29.00 SAR 39.27 SAR 49.55 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 13.58 SAR 20.19 SAR 26.79 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.61 SAR 18.24 SAR 27.22 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 22.89 SAR 24.73 SAR 28.58 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 21.22 SAR 24.86 SAR 28.56 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 23.53 SAR 33.61 SAR 43.70 SAR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 19 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs −5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 19%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +34% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)48 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)53 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)48 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $88.55 $69.69 −21%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 70.44 CHF 33.05 −53%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $252.74 $114.48 −55%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,000 ₹4,718 −57%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $509.96 $215.31 −58%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥44.66 ¥29.22 −35%
Amrize AG AMRZ $40.52 $31.93 −21%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,282 ₹1,126 −66%
CEMEX, S.A. CX $10.69 $20.77 +94%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$39.01 A$9.64 −75%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eastern Province Cement Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3080

Frequently asked questions

Is Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 27.72 SAR versus a price of 24.90 SAR, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3080?
Our model-based fair value for Eastern Province Cement Co. is 27.72 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.90 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3080?
Eastern Province Cement Co. has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 27.72 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 23.24 SAR, optimistic scenario 43.70 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eastern Province Cement Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 27.72 SAR, about +11% upside versus a price of 24.90 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 23.24 SAR, optimistic scenario 43.70 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Eastern Province Cement Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Eastern Province Cement Co. pay a dividend?
Eastern Province Cement Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eastern Province Cement Co. it is 27.72 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 24.90 SAR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Eastern Province Cement Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 3080 trades below its calculated fair value: price 24.90 SAR, fair value 27.72 SAR, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3080?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.90 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (27.72 SAR). For Eastern Province Cement Co. the two are 2.82 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eastern Province Cement Co. worth?
The market values Eastern Province Cement Co. at about 2.1B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 24.90 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 27.72 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3080?
Our models span a range for Eastern Province Cement Co.: cautious scenario 23.24 SAR, base 27.72 SAR, optimistic 43.70 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 24.90 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3080?
Eastern Province Cement Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 27.72 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 2.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eastern Province Cement Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3080 from its 52-week high?
Eastern Province Cement Co. trades at 24.90 SAR, about 10% below its 52-week high of 27.56 SAR and 16% above the low of 21.50 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 27.72 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eastern Province Cement Co.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eastern Province Cement Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 24.90 SAR, calculated fair value 27.72 SAR (+11%), Quality Score 56/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3080 calculated?
We run Eastern Province Cement Co. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 27.72 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Eastern Province Cement Co. currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Eastern Province Cement Co. right now?
A fairly wide model range (23.24 SAR to 43.70 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080) come from?
Earnings per share at Eastern Province Cement Co. grew −4.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.0 %, EBIT margin −3.8 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Eastern Province Cement Co.

How large is the market capitalisation of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
The market capitalisation of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 2.1B SAR (≈ $570M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 1.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Earnings per share at Eastern Province Cement Co. are 2.47 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
The dividend yield of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 2.4% (payout 24.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
The net margin of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 16.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
The operating margin of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 22.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Revenue at Eastern Province Cement Co. is growing +10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080)?
Earnings per share at Eastern Province Cement Co. are growing +8.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080) generate?
The free cash flow of Eastern Province Cement Co. is −237M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Eastern Province Cement Co. (3080) carry?
The net debt of Eastern Province Cement Co. is 166M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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