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Al Jouf Cement Company (3091) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 524M SAR

AJ Al Jouf Cement Company 3091 · SR
Price4.82 SAR
Fair Value10.12 SAR
Upside+110.0%
Quality42/100
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -98.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 5.18 SAR – 12.46 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Share price −6.6% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (5.18 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (5.18 SAR to 12.46 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

7.18 SAR 4.72 SAR Fair Value 10.12 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 4.72 SAR – 7.18 SAR · fair‑value band 5.18 SAR – 12.46 SAR · the 4.82 SAR price screens below the 10.12 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Al Jouf Cement Company (3091) currently trades at 4.82 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.12 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 110.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Al Jouf Cement Company generated revenue of 216M SAR at a net margin of -98.6%. Revenue declined 41.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.4%. Net debt stands at 700M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5.18 SAR (bear case) to 12.46 SAR (bull case); at 4.82 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 110%, 3091 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 216M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.3%
Net margin -98.6%
Return on equity -21.4%
Free cash flow 72.7M SAR FY2025
Operating margin -16.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.96 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -66.4%
Net debt 700M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100
Profitability 0
Quality Growth 11
Cashflow 100
Fin. Strength 34
Investment 100
Low Volatility 94
Momentum 20
52W Momentum 3
Net Issuance 72

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Al Jouf Cement Company engages in production and sale of cement in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It provides sulfate-resistant cement, ordinary Portland cement, Super 20 cement, and finishing cement.

Full company description

Al Jouf Cement Company engages in production and sale of cement in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It provides sulfate-resistant cement, ordinary Portland cement, Super 20 cement, and finishing cement. The company also engages in the provision of marketing services; land transport of goods; and import, export, wholesale, and retail trade of cement and its derivatives. Its products are used in various applications, such as various types of concrete structures and foundations, civil and construction projects, reinforced concrete works, pipes, and cement brick factories, as well as finishing works. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Al Jouf Cement Company reported revenue of 244M SAR in FY2025 versus 227M SAR in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −207M SAR in FY2025.

Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 227M SAR
FY22 252M SAR
FY23 301M SAR
FY24 257M SAR
FY25 244M SAR
Net income
FY21 −151M SAR
FY22 30.9M SAR
FY23 84.7M SAR
FY24 −27.7M SAR
FY25 −207M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Jouf Cement Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3091

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 29
FUTURE 0 / 4
PAST 0 / 15
HEALTH 93 / 92
DIVIDEND 0 / 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $106.52 $64.08 -40%
Holcim AG HCMLY $19.20 $8.68 -55%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹10,866 ₹4,589 -58%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥36.96 ¥15.20 -59%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,088 ₹2,139 -31%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.03 MXN 14.29 MXN -32%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥19.35 ¥32.23 +67%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹417.55 ₹247.84 -41%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹24,085 ₹8,445 -65%
TCC Group 1101B 45.25 TWD 25.16 TWD -44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Al Jouf Cement Company (3091) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.12 SAR versus a price of 4.82 SAR, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3091?
Our model-based fair value for Al Jouf Cement Company is 10.12 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.82 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3091?
Al Jouf Cement Company has a Quality Score of 42/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Al Jouf Cement Company (3091)?
Al Jouf Cement Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 216M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3091?
The net profit margin of Al Jouf Cement Company is about -98.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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