Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd TWD 9.81, price TWD 68.90, upside -85.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 9.81 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−86%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(1/14)
!Narrow moat26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Gongin Precision Ind. Co., Ltd engages in manufacturing, processing, and sale of various molds, special machinery, electronic components, and molds for aircraft engines and structures in Taiwan and Mainland China. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178) currently trades at 68.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.81 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 602.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 40.84 TWD per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 68.90 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 3.72 TWD, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.81 TWD (bear) to 16.96 TWD (bull), the price of 68.90 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −20.6M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1B TWD (≈ $97.5M) · P/E ratio 215.3 · P/S ratio 2.21 · EPS (TTM) 0.3200 TWD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −86%, 3178 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (3.72 TWD to 40.84 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 9.81 TWDFair Value 9.81 TWDBull 16.96 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2350 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.3% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+71.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.2% a year for the price.
Compare Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.50× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)215.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.48× · Pricier than median
P/FCF6.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA21.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)68· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)75· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3178
Frequently asked questions
Is Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.81 TWD versus a price of 68.90 TWD, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3178?
Our model-based fair value for Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 9.81 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 68.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3178?
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.81 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 16.96 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.81 TWD, about −86% upside versus a price of 68.90 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 16.96 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +71.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3178 use?
Our models discount Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.01, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd that is +71.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd grew -0.1 % a year. The price currently implies +71.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (+71.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.52 %: that much free cash flow Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd it is 9.81 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 68.90 TWD. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3178 trades above its calculated fair value: price 68.90 TWD, fair value 9.81 TWD, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3178?
No. The price is what the market pays today (68.90 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.81 TWD). For Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd the two are 59.09 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd worth?
The market values Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd at about 3.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 68.90 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.81 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3178?
Our models span a range for Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd: cautious scenario 9.81 TWD, base 9.81 TWD, optimistic 16.96 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 68.90 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3178?
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 215.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9.81 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 21.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3178 from its 52-week high?
Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd trades at 68.90 TWD, about 9% below its 52-week high of 75.90 TWD and 47% above the low of 46.75 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.81 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 68.90 TWD, calculated fair value 9.81 TWD (−86%), Quality Score 44/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3178 calculated?
We run Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.81 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 68.90 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.81 TWD, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.96 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The market capitalisation of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 3.1B TWD (≈ $97.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 2.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
Earnings per share at Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd are 0.3200 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 215.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The dividend yield of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 0.8% (payout 172%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The net margin of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is −1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
The operating margin of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178)?
Revenue at Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is growing +13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd (3178) carry?
The net debt of Gongin Precision Industrial Co Ltd is 737M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 45.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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