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TrueLight Corporation (3234) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 12.0B TWD

TC TrueLight Corporation 3234 · TWO
Price118.00 TWD
Fair Value56.99 TWD
Upside-51.7%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -30.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range 37.56 TWD – 71.23 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 1.76 TWD to 56.99 TWD (+3,138.1%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −6.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (71.23 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (37.56 TWD to 71.23 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

145.50 TWD 18.95 TWD Fair Value 56.99 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.95 TWD – 145.50 TWD · fair‑value band 37.56 TWD – 71.23 TWD · the 118.00 TWD price screens above the 56.99 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

TrueLight Corporation (3234) currently trades at 118.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.99 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, TrueLight Corporation generated revenue of 660M TWD at a net margin of -30.3%. Revenue declined 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.7%. Net debt stands at 247M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 37.56 TWD (bear case) to 71.23 TWD (bull case); at 118.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 281% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -52%, 3234 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 5.95 TWD 6.51 TWD 7.36 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.95 TWD 7.46 TWD 9.58 TWD 61
NCAV (Graham) 3.34 TWD 4.48 TWD 6.69 TWD 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.95 TWD 6.51 TWD 7.36 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.95 TWD 7.46 TWD 9.58 TWD 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.34 TWD 4.48 TWD 6.69 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (6.51 TWD) versus Asset-Based (4.48 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 660M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.4%
Net margin -30.3%
Return on equity -24.7%
Free cash flow −84.0M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -21.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.40 TWD
Net debt 247M TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TrueLight Corporation designs, develops, and supplies optical communication components in China, Taiwan, Asia, the United States, and Europe. The company offers optical fiber communication, 4G/5G mobile communication base station interconnection, cloud data center, and 3D sensing/near-field sensing/flood illumination products.

Full company description

TrueLight Corporation designs, develops, and supplies optical communication components in China, Taiwan, Asia, the United States, and Europe. The company offers optical fiber communication, 4G/5G mobile communication base station interconnection, cloud data center, and 3D sensing/near-field sensing/flood illumination products. It also provides vertical cavity surface emitting lasers, edge- emitting lasers, and photodetector diode, as well as components, sub-modules, light engines/AOC, and other products. TrueLight Corporation was founded in 1997 and is based in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TrueLight Corporation reported revenue of 683M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −156M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
683M TWD
Latest YoY
+19.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.6%
Revenue −15.1%/yr
FY21 1.3B TWD
FY22 990M TWD
FY23 630M TWD
FY24 574M TWD
FY25 683M TWD
Net income
FY21 −133M TWD
FY22 −26.2M TWD
FY23 −390M TWD
FY24 −239M TWD
FY25 −156M TWD

3234 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TrueLight Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3234

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 318 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −52% · Above median
Return on assets -10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 60
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €784.90 €185.67 -76%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TrueLight Corporation (3234) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 56.99 TWD versus a price of 118.00 TWD, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3234?
Our model-based fair value for TrueLight Corporation is 56.99 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 118.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3234?
TrueLight Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TrueLight Corporation (3234)?
TrueLight Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 660M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3234?
The net profit margin of TrueLight Corporation is about -30.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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