Heineken Malaysia Berhad, (3255) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MY · Market cap 5.8B MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 27.68 MYR to 25.55 MYR (−7.7%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −12.1% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- A fairly wide model range (16.75 MYR to 37.68 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.16 MYR – 25.19 MYR · fair‑value band 16.75 MYR – 37.68 MYR · the 17.06 MYR price screens below the 25.55 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Heineken Malaysia Berhad, (3255) currently trades at 17.06 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.55 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Heineken Malaysia Berhad, generated revenue of 2.7B MYR at a net margin of 16.4%. Revenue declined 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 68.1%. Net debt stands at 144M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.75 MYR (bear case) to 37.68 MYR (bull case); at 17.06 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 50%, 3255 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (25.55 MYR) versus Asset-Based (1.18 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Heineken Malaysia Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in production, packaging, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic beverages primarily in Malaysia.
Full company description
Heineken Malaysia Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in production, packaging, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic beverages primarily in Malaysia. It offers beers under the Heineken, Tiger, Guinness, Anchor, Edelweiss, and Kilkenny brand names; ciders under the Apple Fox brand name; shandy under the Anglia brand name; and non-alcoholic malt beverage under the Malta brand name. The company is also involved in property holding and land development activities. It also exports its products to Asian countries. The company was formerly known as Guinness Anchor Berhad and changed its name to Heineken Malaysia Berhad in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1964 is based in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia. Heineken Malaysia Berhad operates as a subsidiary of GAPL Pte Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Heineken Malaysia Berhad, reported revenue of 2.8B MYR in FY2026 versus 2.0B MYR in FY2022, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 459M MYR in FY2026, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €73.62 | €41.60 | -43% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €77.24 | €65.06 | -16% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,125 | kr 607.30 | -46% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.60 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.58 | HK$6.05 | -8% |
| Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA | C$63.10 | C$74.42 | +18% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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