MeiG Smart Technology Co (3268) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$5.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$12.91 to HK$12.59 (−2.5%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −5.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$15.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$7.22 to HK$15.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
5‑month range HK$16.03 – HK$29.39 · fair‑value band HK$7.22 – HK$15.74 · the HK$17.15 price screens above the HK$12.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
MeiG Smart Technology Co (3268) currently trades at HK$17.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.59, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MeiG Smart Technology Co generated revenue of HK$3.7B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at HK$74.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$7.22 (bear case) to HK$15.74 (bull case); at HK$17.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -27%, 3268 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$19.53) versus Dividend Discount (HK$2.44). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of wireless communication modules and Internet of Things solutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of wireless communication modules and Internet of Things solutions in China and internationally. Its products include 5G smart, 5G and 4G LTE, AI computing, automotive, smart, LPWA, and GNSS modules; and wireless data solutions for use in smart positioning and tracking, payment methods for retailers, blind spot monitoring driving, logistics, and alarm and gas alarm solutions in energy sectors. MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Shenzhen MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd and changed its name to MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd. in December 2017. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MeiG Smart Technology Co reported revenue of HK$3.7B in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$143M in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.
3268 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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