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Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd (3377) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$646M

SO Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd 3377 · HK
PriceHK$0.0500
Fair ValueHK$0.0340
Upside-32.0%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 45.5% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0362 – HK$0.0632 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +4.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.19 HK$0.0460 Fair Value HK$0.0340 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0460 – HK$2.19 · fair‑value band HK$0.0362 – HK$0.0632 · the HK$0.0500 price screens above the HK$0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd (3377) currently trades at HK$0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd generated revenue of HK$14.8B at a net margin of 45.5%. Revenue declined 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.0%. Net debt stands at HK$47.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0362 (bear case) to HK$0.0632 (bull case); at HK$0.0500, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -32%, 3377 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4700 HK$1.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6800 HK$1.47 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4900 HK$1.13 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6600 HK$1.54 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5000 HK$1.23 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$5.71 HK$7.61 HK$9.52 58
EV/Revenue HK$0.0200 HK$0.7100 HK$1.40 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4700 HK$1.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6800 HK$1.47 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.7100) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$14.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.4%
Net margin 45.5%
Return on equity 34.0%
Free cash flow HK$2.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 0.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -85.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.9200
EPS growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net debt HK$47.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development activities in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, and All Other segments.

Full company description

Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development activities in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, and All Other segments. The company engages in residential development under the Epoch, Harmony, and Landscape brands; investment property development and operation, including commercial complexes, office buildings, shopping centers, industrial parks, community commercial areas, and other business spaces; asset-light agent construction for governments and central state-owned enterprises; logistics real estate services, as well as warehousing solutions, including cold chain storage; and real estate fund. It also provides property management service for residential buildings, shopping malls, office spaces, hotels, hospitals, government buildings, and other public service facilities; whole-industrial chain construction; senior living; internet data center; property sales agency; upfitting; land development; and renovation services. The company was formerly known as Sino-Ocean Land Holdings Limited and changed its name to Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited in May 2016. Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd reported revenue of HK$14.8B in FY2025 versus HK$64.2B in FY2021, a compound −30.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$6.8B in FY2025, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$14.8B
Latest YoY
−37.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−31.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Revenue −30.7%/yr
FY21 HK$64.2B
FY22 HK$46.1B
FY23 HK$46.5B
FY24 HK$23.6B
FY25 HK$14.8B
Net income +25.4%/yr
FY21 HK$2.7B
FY22 −HK$19.0B
FY23 −HK$21.1B
FY24 −HK$18.6B
FY25 HK$6.8B

3377 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3377

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -86% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 47
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 10
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹661.75 ₹146.13 -78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,209 ₹583.43 -52%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,488 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 73.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +15%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 610.00 IDR 1,525 IDR +150%
Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH 18,150 VND 20,338 VND +12%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,300 IDR 6,239 IDR +45%
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS 147.00 IDR 164.33 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd (3377) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0340 versus a price of HK$0.0500, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3377?
Our model-based fair value for Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd is HK$0.0340 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0500.
What is the quality score of 3377?
Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd (3377)?
Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$14.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3377?
The net profit margin of Sino-Ocean Group Holding Ltd is about 45.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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