Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd TWD 991, price TWD 901, upside +10.0%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 251.74 TWD – 1,110 TWD · fair‑value band 639.76 TWD – 1,240 TWD · the 901.00 TWD price screens below the 991.10 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Genius Electronic Optical Co.,Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, processing, and trade of optical instruments, molds, lighting equipment, and related spare parts in Taiwan and China. The company provides lenses, including medical, car, humanoid robot, industrial AI, and mobile lenses, as well as AR/VR optics.
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Genius Electronic Optical Co.,Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, processing, and trade of optical instruments, molds, lighting equipment, and related spare parts in Taiwan and China. The company provides lenses, including medical, car, humanoid robot, industrial AI, and mobile lenses, as well as AR/VR optics. It also engages in lens MTF eccentricity adjustment, COMS image module focusing, image quality analysis and testing, and development of production equipment; design, processing, production, and sale of non-metallic products molds; production assembly; installation and maintenance of LED streetlights, LED lamps, and related products and parts; manufacture of optical electronic devices, other electronic devices, and plastic containers and products; and sale of mechanical parts and components, as well as import and export agent services. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406) currently trades at 901.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 991.10 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 1,077 TWD per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the 901.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 157.54 TWD, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 639.76 TWD (bear) to 1,240 TWD (bull), the price of 901.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd reported revenue of 25.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 16.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7B TWD in FY2025, compounding +12.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 102B TWD (≈ $3.2B) · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 4.07 · EPS (TTM) 32.80 TWD · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 14.8% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 133% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 10%, 3406 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 639.76 TWDFair Value 991.10 TWDBull 1,240 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (11.56 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 19%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3406
Frequently asked questions
Is Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 991.10 TWD versus a price of 901.00 TWD, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3406?
Our model-based fair value for Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 991.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 901.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3406?
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 991.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 639.76 TWD, optimistic scenario 1,240 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 991.10 TWD, about +10% upside versus a price of 901.00 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 639.76 TWD, optimistic scenario 1,240 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3406 use?
Our models discount Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd that is +10.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd grew +9.5 % a year. The price currently implies +10.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (+10.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.53 %: that much free cash flow Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd it is 991.10 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 901.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3406 trades below its calculated fair value: price 901.00 TWD, fair value 991.10 TWD, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3406?
No. The price is what the market pays today (901.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (991.10 TWD). For Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd the two are 90.10 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd at about 102B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 901.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 991.10 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3406?
Our models span a range for Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd: cautious scenario 639.76 TWD, base 991.10 TWD, optimistic 1,240 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 901.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3406?
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 991.10 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 3.9, EV/EBITDA 10.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3406 from its 52-week high?
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd trades at 901.00 TWD, about 19% below its 52-week high of 1,110 TWD and 133% above the low of 386.13 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 991.10 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Seagate Technology Holdings, Western Digital Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 901.00 TWD, calculated fair value 991.10 TWD (+10%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3406 calculated?
We run Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 991.10 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 901.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 991.10 TWD, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (639.76 TWD to 1,240 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The market capitalisation of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 102B TWD (≈ $3.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 4.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Earnings per share at Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd are 32.80 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The dividend yield of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 1.9% (payout 51.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The net margin of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 14.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 10.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
The operating margin of Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Revenue at Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd is growing +15.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406)?
Earnings per share at Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd are growing +2.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd (3406) hold?
Genius Electronic Optical Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 5.9B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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