AEWIN Technologies Co (3564) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 2.8B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −10.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.23 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (8.27 TWD to 15.23 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.71 TWD – 126.64 TWD · fair‑value band 8.27 TWD – 15.23 TWD · the 48.10 TWD price screens above the 11.20 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
AEWIN Technologies Co (3564) currently trades at 48.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.20 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AEWIN Technologies Co generated revenue of 2.6B TWD at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at 293M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.27 TWD (bear case) to 15.23 TWD (bull case); at 48.10 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -77%, 3564 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (18.29 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (6.34 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AEWIN Technologies Co.,Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of network security-related products in Asia, the United States, and Europe.
Full company description
AEWIN Technologies Co.,Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of network security-related products in Asia, the United States, and Europe. The company offers network appliances; general purpose and edge computing servers, and workstations; network expansion modules; functional modules; and standard PCIe cards, including network interface, QAT crypto acceleration, OCP QAT, and storage adapter cards. It also provides workload optimization systems and Edge AI solutions; and ODM/OEM services. The company's products are used for network computing, software-defined wide area network, network functions virtualization infrastructure, multi-access edge computing/edge AI, and 5G/vRAN applications. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AEWIN Technologies Co reported revenue of 2.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was 38.3M TWD in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.
3564 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 215 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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