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Medtide Inc (3880) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$3.1B

MI Medtide Inc 3880 · HK
PriceHK$21.64
Fair ValueHK$28.89
Upside+33.5%
Quality69/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 38.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range HK$21.36 – HK$36.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$30.28 to HK$28.89 (−4.6%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −11.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from HK$21.36 (bear) to HK$36.18 (bull), base HK$28.89. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 69/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (13 months)

HK$40.64 HK$19.63 Fair Value HK$28.89 Jun 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range HK$19.63 – HK$40.64 · fair‑value band HK$21.36 – HK$36.18 · the HK$21.64 price screens below the HK$28.89 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Medtide Inc (3880) currently trades at HK$21.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$28.89, implying the stock looks roughly 33.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Medtide Inc generated revenue of HK$570M at a net margin of 38.1%. Revenue grew 29.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.8%. Net debt stands at HK$41.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$21.36 (bear case) to HK$36.18 (bull case); at HK$21.64, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 34%, 3880 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$16.26 HK$27.83 HK$50.49 80
Residual Income HK$10.63 HK$13.50 HK$36.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$12.77 HK$23.15 HK$41.52 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$17.20 HK$25.54 HK$51.53 38
Owner Earnings HK$14.00 HK$28.90 HK$59.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$12.77 HK$20.45 HK$36.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.93 HK$35.04 HK$64.44 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$24.67 HK$54.87 HK$96.15 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$13.85 HK$26.82 HK$35.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.29 HK$41.66 HK$82.98 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$22.66 HK$51.49 HK$102.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$10.42 HK$72.70 HK$102.02 54
Lynch FV HK$26.20 HK$37.43 HK$48.66 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$26.20 HK$37.43 HK$48.66 46
EPV HK$13.13 HK$14.93 HK$16.48 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.19 HK$2.37 HK$3.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.19 HK$2.05 HK$2.50 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$25.29 HK$33.72 HK$42.16 63
P/S Multiple HK$10.55 HK$14.07 HK$17.59 58
P/B Multiple HK$19.54 HK$26.06 HK$32.57 55
EV/EBIT HK$21.96 HK$28.70 HK$35.44 53
EV/EBITDA HK$20.57 HK$26.84 HK$33.11 54
EV/Revenue HK$10.19 HK$13.81 HK$17.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$5.59 HK$7.49 HK$11.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$16.26 HK$27.83 HK$50.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$12.77 HK$23.15 HK$41.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$10.63 HK$13.50 HK$36.59 76
ROIC Compounder HK$14.98 HK$20.28 HK$24.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$34.49 HK$49.28 HK$64.06 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$49.28) versus Dividend Discount (HK$2.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$570M
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.2%
Net margin 38.1%
Return on equity 22.8%
Free cash flow HK$138M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.6 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 40.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.8200
EPS growth (YoY) +1,077%
Net debt HK$41.5M FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 11
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Medtide Inc., a contract research, development, and manufacturing company, provides early-stage discovery, pre-clinical research, clinical development, and commercial-stage production services. It offers peptide new chemical entity discovery synthesis, manufacturing, and control development and commercial manufacturing services.

Full company description

Medtide Inc., a contract research, development, and manufacturing company, provides early-stage discovery, pre-clinical research, clinical development, and commercial-stage production services. It offers peptide new chemical entity discovery synthesis, manufacturing, and control development and commercial manufacturing services. The company focuses on developing oral and/or injectable glucagon, such as peptide-1 (GLP-1) molecule products. Its research and development technology platforms include OmniPeptSynth, PeptiConjuX, PeptiNuclide LinkTech, GreenSynth Innovations, and Impurity Screening. It serves customers in China, the United States, Japan, Europe, South Korea, and Australia. The company was formerly known as Taide Pharmaceutical (Zhejiang) Co., Ltd and changed its name to Medtide Inc. in February 2023. Medtide Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Medtide Inc reported revenue of HK$570M in FY2025 versus HK$282M in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$217M in FY2025, compounding +28.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$570M
Latest YoY
+28.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.6%
Revenue +19.2%/yr
FY21 HK$282M
FY22 HK$351M
FY23 HK$337M
FY24 HK$442M
FY25 HK$570M
Net income +28.3%/yr
FY21 HK$80.3M
FY22 HK$54.0M
FY23 HK$48.9M
FY24 HK$59.2M
FY25 HK$217M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Medtide Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3880

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 605 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +34% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 78 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 91 · sector 0
HEALTH 80 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 314,000 KRW 39,476 KRW -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Medtide Inc (3880) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$28.89 versus a price of HK$21.64, about +34% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3880?
Our model-based fair value for Medtide Inc is HK$28.89 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$21.64.
What is the quality score of 3880?
Medtide Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Medtide Inc (3880)?
Medtide Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$570M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3880?
The net profit margin of Medtide Inc is about 38.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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