Muda Holdings Bhd (3883) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 7, 2026: fair value of Muda Holdings Bhd MYR 0.32, price MYR 0.72, upside -55.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.7000 MYR – 3.39 MYR · fair‑value band 0.2800 MYR – 0.3600 MYR · the 0.7200 MYR price screens above the 0.3200 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Muda Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of paper and paper packaging products in Malaysia, Singapore, Australia, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading segments.
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Muda Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of paper and paper packaging products in Malaysia, Singapore, Australia, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading segments. The company offers industrial paper, such as test liner, corrugated medium, laminated chip board, core board, grey chip board, and deli wrapping paper. It also offers corrugated cartons, paper bags, paper stationery, paper boards, board sheets, and paper-based food packaging products. In addition, the company trades in paper, recovered paper, waste paper, schoolbooks, uniforms, recycled materials, and stationery products; acts as a commission agent; provides management consultancy, general insurance agency, and engineering and fabrication services; imports and distributes stationery; and operates school bookshops and online bookstores. Further, it is involved in the property holding activities. Additionally, the company manufactures and trades printing materials. The company's products are used in retail, furniture, food and beverages, electrical, electronics, and other industries. Muda Holdings Berhad was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Muda Holdings Bhd (3883) currently trades at 0.7200 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3200 MYR, 55.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 2.78 MYR per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the 0.7200 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1600 MYR, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2800 MYR (bear) to 0.3600 MYR (bull), the price of 0.7200 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Muda Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 1.4B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −48.5M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 220M MYR (≈ $53.8M) · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 MYR · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 18% fair-value upside, at −56%, 3883 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2800 MYRFair Value 0.3200 MYRBull 0.3600 MYR
Price 0.7200 MYR · Upside -55.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.5/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.3% (2020) → −2.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 118 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−55.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.04× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)13· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)53· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Muda Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3883
Frequently asked questions
Is Muda Holdings Bhd (3883) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3200 MYR versus a price of 0.7200 MYR, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3883?
Our model-based fair value for Muda Holdings Bhd is 0.3200 MYR (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.7200 MYR.
What is the quality score of 3883?
Muda Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3200 MYR (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3600 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Muda Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3200 MYR, about −56% upside versus a price of 0.7200 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2800 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3600 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
Muda Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B MYR (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Muda Holdings Bhd pay a dividend?
Muda Holdings Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.67% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Muda Holdings Bhd it is 0.3200 MYR per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 0.7200 MYR. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Muda Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 3883 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.7200 MYR, fair value 0.3200 MYR, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3883?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.7200 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3200 MYR). For Muda Holdings Bhd the two are 0.4000 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Muda Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Muda Holdings Bhd at about 220M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 0.7200 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3200 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3883?
Our models span a range for Muda Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 0.2800 MYR, base 0.3200 MYR, optimistic 0.3600 MYR per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 0.7200 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
Balance-sheet figures for Muda Holdings Bhd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3883 from its 52-week high?
Muda Holdings Bhd trades at 0.7200 MYR, about 25% below its 52-week high of 0.9550 MYR and 3% above the low of 0.7000 MYR (as of Oct 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3200 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Muda Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, The Navigator Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Muda Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 0.7200 MYR, calculated fair value 0.3200 MYR (−56%), Quality Score 43/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3883 calculated?
We run Muda Holdings Bhd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3200 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Muda Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The closing price on Oct 7, 2026 was 0.7200 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.3200 MYR, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Muda Holdings Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3600 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Muda Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The market capitalisation of Muda Holdings Bhd is 220M MYR (≈ $53.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Muda Holdings Bhd is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
Earnings per share at Muda Holdings Bhd are −0.0300 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The dividend yield of Muda Holdings Bhd is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The net margin of Muda Holdings Bhd is −3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Muda Holdings Bhd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Muda Holdings Bhd is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
The operating margin of Muda Holdings Bhd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Muda Holdings Bhd (3883)?
Revenue at Muda Holdings Bhd is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Muda Holdings Bhd (3883) generate?
The free cash flow of Muda Holdings Bhd is −16.0M MYR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Muda Holdings Bhd (3883) carry?
The net debt of Muda Holdings Bhd is 652M MYR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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