Muda Holdings (3883) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 250M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026 — revised from 12.44 MYR to 0.1800 MYR (−98.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 0.7222 MYR – 0.9852 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1600 MYR – 0.2100 MYR · the 0.8150 MYR price screens above the 0.1800 MYR fair value. As of Jul 9, 2026.
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Muda Holdings (3883) currently trades at 0.8150 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1800 MYR — implying the stock looks roughly 77.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Muda Holdings generated revenue of 1.4B MYR at a net margin of -2.0%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.0%. Net debt stands at 652M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1600 MYR (bear case) to 0.2100 MYR (bull case); at 0.8150 MYR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside — at -78%, 3883 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Muda Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of paper and paper packaging products in Malaysia, Singapore, Australia, and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Manufacturing and Trading segments. The company offers industrial paper, such as test liner, corrugated medium, laminated chip board, core board, grey chip board, and deli wrapping paper. It also offers corrugated cartons, paper bags, paper stationery, paper boards, board sheets, and paper-based food packaging products. In addition, the company trades in paper, recovered paper, waste paper, schoolbooks, uniforms, recycled materials, and stationery products; acts as a commission agent; provides management consultancy, general insurance agency, and engineering and fabrication services; imports and distributes stationery; and operates school bookshops and online bookstores. Further, it is involved in the property holding activities. Additionally, the company manufactures …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Muda Holdings reported revenue of 1.4B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −48.5M MYR in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$16.86 | R$2.95 | -83% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPMKF | $29.33 | $17.60 | -40% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.45 | R$84.96 | +105% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 101.90 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥12.75 | ¥17.29 | +36% |
| Holmen AB HLMMF | $35.72 | $32.71 | -8% |
| Mondi plc MNODF | $9.70 | $9.16 | -6% |
| Oji Holdings OJIPY | $55.39 | $61.84 | +12% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.04 | HK$8.99 | +28% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,043 CLP | 1,263 CLP | +21% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.