3999 (3999) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$569M

3 3999 3999 · HK

PriceHK$0.5600

Fair ValueHK$1.19

Upside+112.5%

Quality55/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.9100 – HK$1.48

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.5200 – HK$0.6700 · fair‑value band HK$0.9100 – HK$1.48 · the HK$0.5600 price screens below the HK$1.19 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3999 (3999) currently trades at HK$0.5600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.19 — implying the stock looks roughly 112.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3999 generated revenue of HK$6.0B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$64.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$6.0B

Revenue growth (YoY) -2.0%

Net margin 0.2%

Return on equity 1.6%

Free cash flow HK$192M FY2025

Operating margin 1.4%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0182

EPS growth (YoY) -35.5%

Net cash HK$64.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3999 reported revenue of HK$6.0B in FY2025 versus HK$6.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.6M in FY2025.

Revenue −2.1%/yr

FY21 HK$6.5B

FY22 HK$6.2B

FY23 HK$6.4B

FY24 HK$5.8B

FY25 HK$6.0B

Net income

FY21 HK$155M

FY22 HK$91.9M

FY23 HK$47.0M

FY24 HK$58.8M

FY25 −HK$1.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN	CHF 79.73	CHF 55.79	-30%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288	¥34.03	¥23.66	-30%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND	₹1,386	₹278.10	-80%
3288 3288	HK$30.26	HK$27.44	-9%
Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA	57.10 MXN	45.03 MXN	-21%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216	75.60 TWD	55.53 TWD	-27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3999 (3999) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.19 versus a price of HK$0.5600 — about +113% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3999?

Our model-based fair value for 3999 is HK$1.19 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5600.

What is the quality score of 3999?

3999 has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3999 (3999)?

3999 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3999?

The net profit margin of 3999 is about 0.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.