MBC Group Co. (4072) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what MBC Group Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range 19.44 SAR – 79.90 SAR · fair‑value band 8.87 SAR – 10.47 SAR · the 19.44 SAR price screens above the 9.72 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
MBC Group operates as a media company in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, North Africa, and internationally. It operates free-to-air TV channels and radio stations, such as MBC1, MBC2, MBC3, MBC4, MBC5, MBC MASR, MBC IRAQ, and MBC LOUD FM, as well as MBC SHAHID, an Arabic streaming platform.
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MBC Group operates as a media company in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, North Africa, and internationally. It operates free-to-air TV channels and radio stations, such as MBC1, MBC2, MBC3, MBC4, MBC5, MBC MASR, MBC IRAQ, and MBC LOUD FM, as well as MBC SHAHID, an Arabic streaming platform. The company is also involved in production and post-production of television programs; acquisition of television content for resale; music label and rights management; management and development of artistic and entertainment talents; events and exhibitions management; and management of real estate properties owned and leased. In addition, it engages in managing distribution contracts; brokerage, production, and distribution of artwork; and production of television, cinema, broadcasting, and media arts works; MBC ACADEMY, an educational and training platform; music publishing, and touring and merchandising services; and WIZZO, a mobile gaming app comprising esports events and a local gaming network. Further, the company provides FlashWin, a web-based game; and broadcasting services, broadcast support services, event management services, advertising services, technical support services, and commerce services, including technical management of websites and mobile applications. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
MBC Group Co. (4072) currently trades at 19.44 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.72 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 37.93 SAR per share, and 8 of the 15 models we run sit above the 19.44 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.17 SAR, and 7 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 8.87 SAR (bear) to 10.47 SAR (bull), the price of 19.44 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
MBC Group Co. reported revenue of 5.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 2.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was 383M SAR in FY2025, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.5B SAR (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 18.5 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) 1.05 SAR · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −50%, 4072 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8.87 SARFair Value 9.72 SARBull 10.47 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7393 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
’20
’21
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +4.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 4%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 64% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 66 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)18.5× · Pricier than median
P/B0.39× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.36× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA3.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)34· sector 2
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MBC Group Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4072
Frequently asked questions
Is MBC Group Co. (4072) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.72 SAR versus a price of 19.44 SAR, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4072?
Our model-based fair value for MBC Group Co. is 9.72 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.44 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4072?
MBC Group Co. has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MBC Group Co. (4072)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.72 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.87 SAR, optimistic scenario 10.47 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MBC Group Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.72 SAR, about −50% upside versus a price of 19.44 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.87 SAR, optimistic scenario 10.47 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
MBC Group Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MBC Group Co. it is 9.72 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 19.44 SAR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MBC Group Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4072 trades above its calculated fair value: price 19.44 SAR, fair value 9.72 SAR, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4072?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.44 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.72 SAR). For MBC Group Co. the two are 9.72 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MBC Group Co. worth?
The market values MBC Group Co. at about 6.5B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 19.44 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 9.72 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4072?
Our models span a range for MBC Group Co.: cautious scenario 8.87 SAR, base 9.72 SAR, optimistic 10.47 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 19.44 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4072?
MBC Group Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9.72 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 3.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
Balance-sheet figures for MBC Group Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4072 from its 52-week high?
MBC Group Co. trades at 19.44 SAR, about 49% below its 52-week high of 38.00 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.72 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MBC Group Co.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, SES S.A, PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries,, MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MBC Group Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 19.44 SAR, calculated fair value 9.72 SAR (−50%), Quality Score 43/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4072 calculated?
We run MBC Group Co. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.72 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. MBC Group Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with MBC Group Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.47 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of MBC Group Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
The market capitalisation of MBC Group Co. is 6.5B SAR (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MBC Group Co. is 1.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
Earnings per share at MBC Group Co. are 1.05 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
The net margin of MBC Group Co. is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MBC Group Co. is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MBC Group Co. is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MBC Group Co. (4072)?
The operating margin of MBC Group Co. is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MBC Group Co. (4072)?
Revenue at MBC Group Co. is growing −22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MBC Group Co. (4072)?
Earnings per share at MBC Group Co. are growing −14.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MBC Group Co. (4072) generate?
The free cash flow of MBC Group Co. is −80.6M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does MBC Group Co. (4072) hold?
MBC Group Co. holds more cash than debt, 1.3B SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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