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MBC Group (4072) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SA · Market cap 6.7B SAR

MG MBC Group 4072 · SR
Price20.06 SAR
Fair Value19.56 SAR
Upside-2.5%
Quality37/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
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Evidence: High Range 14.67 SAR – 24.45 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price −12.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

37.90 SAR 20.06 SAR Fair Value 19.56 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 20.06 SAR – 37.90 SAR · fair‑value band 14.67 SAR – 24.45 SAR · the 20.06 SAR price screens above the 19.56 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

MBC Group (4072) currently trades at 20.06 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.56 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 2.5% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MBC Group generated revenue of 4.9B SAR at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.3B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.67 SAR (bear case) to 24.45 SAR (bull case); at 20.06 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -2%, 4072 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.9B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.9%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow −80.6M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 19.1
More key figures
Operating margin 9.9%
EPS (TTM) 1.05 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -14.6%
Net cash 1.3B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100
Profitability 37
Quality Growth 50
Cashflow 9
Fin. Strength 77
Investment 52
Low Volatility 79
Momentum 9
52W Momentum 0
Net Issuance 40

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MBC Group operates as a media company in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, North Africa, and internationally. It operates free-to-air TV channels and radio stations, such as MBC1, MBC2, MBC3, MBC4, MBC5, MBC MASR, MBC IRAQ, and MBC LOUD FM, as well as MBC SHAHID, an Arabic streaming platform.

Full company description

MBC Group operates as a media company in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, North Africa, and internationally. It operates free-to-air TV channels and radio stations, such as MBC1, MBC2, MBC3, MBC4, MBC5, MBC MASR, MBC IRAQ, and MBC LOUD FM, as well as MBC SHAHID, an Arabic streaming platform. The company is also involved in production and post-production of television programs; acquisition of television content for resale; music label and rights management; management and development of artistic and entertainment talents; events and exhibitions management; and management of real estate properties owned and leased. In addition, it engages in managing distribution contracts; brokerage, production, and distribution of artwork; and production of television, cinema, broadcasting, and media arts works; MBC ACADEMY, an educational and training platform; music publishing, and touring and merchandising services; and WIZZO, a mobile gaming app comprising esports events and a local gaming network. Further, the company provides FlashWin, a web-based game; and broadcasting services, broadcast support services, event management services, advertising services, technical support services, and commerce services, including technical management of websites and mobile applications. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MBC Group reported revenue of 5.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 2.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was 383M SAR in FY2025, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY21 2.8B SAR
FY22 3.5B SAR
FY23 2.5B SAR
FY24 4.2B SAR
FY25 5.4B SAR
Net income −15.1%/yr
FY21 737M SAR
FY22 35.0M SAR
FY23 28.5M SAR
FY24 400M SAR
FY25 383M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MBC Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4072

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 / 47
FUTURE 0 / 0
PAST 34 / 3
HEALTH 99 / 96
DIVIDEND 0 / 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation SKPJY $47.85 $14.59 -70%
RTL Group RGLXF $41.00 $63.44 +55%
Nexstar Media Group NXST $164.01 $151.97 -7%
Nippon Television Holdings NPTVF $18.22 $23.96 +32%
ITV plc ITVPY $10.57 $12.30 +16%
SES S.A SESG €9.45 €16.31 +73%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 550.00 IDR 1,069 IDR +94%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.55 €7.01 +97%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.13 ¥1.59 -49%
TV Asahi Holdings THDDY $19.68 $24.97 +27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MBC Group (4072) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.56 SAR versus a price of 20.06 SAR, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4072?
Our model-based fair value for MBC Group is 19.56 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.06 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4072?
MBC Group has a Quality Score of 37/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of MBC Group (4072)?
MBC Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4072?
The net profit margin of MBC Group is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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