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Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co (600037) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 10.0B CNY

BG Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 · SHG
Price¥6.96
Fair Value¥3.64
Upside-47.7%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.77 – ¥4.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ¥0.5400 to ¥3.64 (+574.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +11.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.27 ¥5.61 Fair Value ¥3.64 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.61 – ¥11.27 · fair‑value band ¥2.77 – ¥4.59 · the ¥6.96 price screens above the ¥3.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co (600037) currently trades at ¥6.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.64, implying the stock looks roughly 47.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co generated revenue of 2.4B CNY at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 50.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.77 (bear case) to ¥4.59 (bull case); at ¥6.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -48%, 600037 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.13 ¥5.69 ¥3.86 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.40 ¥5.45 ¥5.49 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.2500 ¥0.4100 ¥0.6000 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥6.41 ¥6.96 ¥7.74 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1700 ¥0.3800 ¥0.4900 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0900 ¥0.1200 46
EPV ¥5.40 ¥5.45 ¥5.49 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2500 ¥0.4100 ¥0.6000 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2500 ¥0.3600 ¥0.4900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.4100 ¥0.5400 ¥0.6800 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.3100 ¥0.4200 ¥0.5200 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.3100 ¥0.4200 ¥0.5200 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.51 ¥5.63 ¥5.75 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.04 ¥10.33 ¥11.63 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.42 ¥5.54 ¥5.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.57 ¥6.12 ¥9.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.13 ¥5.69 ¥3.86 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.40 ¥5.45 ¥5.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.3000 ¥0.4300 ¥0.5700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.96) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +50.1%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 0.5%
Free cash flow −253M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 180.5
More key figures
Operating margin 9.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0400
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +96.8%
Net cash 8.4B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co.,Ltd. engages in the construction, management, operation, and maintenance of cable radio and television networks in China.

Full company description

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co.,Ltd. engages in the construction, management, operation, and maintenance of cable radio and television networks in China. It offers radio and television programs transmission, video on demand, and network information services; Internet access services based on cable TV networks; value-added services for Internet data transmission; domestic IP telephony services; and cable TV advertising design, production, and release services. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China. Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Beijing Gehua Cultural Development Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥34.3M in FY2025, compounding −36.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 8/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+11.0%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.6B
FY22 ¥2.4B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥2.2B
Net income −36.3%/yr
FY21 ¥209M
FY22 ¥332M
FY23 −¥172M
FY24 −¥69.5M
FY25 ¥34.3M

600037 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Nexstar Media Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600037

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −48% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 180.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.79× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 36
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 2 · sector 3
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $183.71 $78.52 -57%
SES S.A SESG €7.46 €15.46 +107%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 505.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +117%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.64 €5.38 +48%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.07 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹489.20 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.06 SAR 19.56 SAR -2%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 206.00 IDR 229.91 IDR +12%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹92.61 ₹53.22 -43%
Sinclair, Inc SBGI $15.42 $4.29 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co (600037) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.64 versus a price of ¥6.96, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600037?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co is ¥3.64 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.96.
What is the quality score of 600037?
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co (600037)?
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600037?
The net profit margin of Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co pay a dividend?
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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