Taiba Holding Co. (4090) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Taiba Holding Co. stock SAR 10.91, price SAR 16.40, upside -33.5%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.83 SAR – 25.50 SAR · fair‑value band 9.30 SAR – 11.79 SAR · the 16.40 SAR price screens above the 10.91 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Taiba Investment Company invests in, buys, develops, sells, leases, operates, and manages real estate and hospitality projects in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Real Estate, Tourism, and Property Management segments.
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The company leases residential and commercial centers, as well as offers property-level management and related services. It is also involved in the operation and accommodation of hotels, hotel apartments, serviced suites, and tourist resorts, as well as offers Hajj services.
In addition, the company engages in the management and operations of hotels and other properties. Further, it buys, sells, leases, operates, and manages hospitals, recreational and other residential, and non-residential and tourism facilities.
Additionally, the company enages in the development, construction, and maintenance of commercial, residential, and other real estate facilities; architectural, civil, mechanical, electrical, and agricultural contracting activities; and industrial and mining business, as well as offers credit and mortgage services.
The company was formerly known as Taiba Holding Co. and changed its name to Taiba Investment Company in May 2019. Taiba Investment Company was founded in 1976 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Taiba Holding Co. (4090) currently trades at 16.40 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.91 SAR, 33.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 13.34 SAR per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the 16.40 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.26 SAR, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 9.30 SAR (bear) to 11.79 SAR (bull), the price of 16.40 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Taiba Holding Co. reported revenue of 1.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 131M SAR in FY2021, a compound +79.7%/yr. Reported net income was 365M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 8.1B SAR (≈ $2.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 23.1 · P/S ratio 5.86 · EPS (TTM) 0.7100 SAR · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 23.2% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −33%, 4090 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear9.30 SARFair Value 10.91 SARBull11.79 SAR
Price 16.40 SAR · Upside -33.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.5875 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.3% vs −7.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.89% → 29%
2025 sits 61% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 163 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−33.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.6% · Above median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)23.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)20.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.1× · Pricier than median
P/B1.20× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)5.86× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA19.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)9· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)49· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Taiba Holding Co. (4090) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.91 SAR versus a price of 16.40 SAR, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4090?
Our model-based fair value for Taiba Holding Co. is 10.91 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.40 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4090?
Taiba Holding Co. has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.91 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 11.79 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taiba Holding Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.91 SAR, about −33% upside versus a price of 16.40 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 11.79 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Taiba Holding Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Taiba Holding Co. pay a dividend?
Taiba Holding Co. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.43% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taiba Holding Co. it is 10.91 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 16.40 SAR. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taiba Holding Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 4090 trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.40 SAR, fair value 10.91 SAR, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4090?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.40 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.91 SAR). For Taiba Holding Co. the two are 5.49 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taiba Holding Co. worth?
The market values Taiba Holding Co. at about 8.1B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 16.40 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 10.91 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4090?
Our models span a range for Taiba Holding Co.: cautious scenario 9.30 SAR, base 10.91 SAR, optimistic 11.79 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 16.40 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4090?
Taiba Holding Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.1 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 10.91 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 5.9, EV/EBITDA 19.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taiba Holding Co. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 4.6%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4090 from its 52-week high?
Taiba Holding Co. trades at 16.40 SAR, about 24% below its 52-week high of 21.57 SAR and 6% above the low of 15.48 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.91 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taiba Holding Co.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taiba Holding Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 16.40 SAR, calculated fair value 10.91 SAR (−33%), Quality Score 34/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4090 calculated?
We run Taiba Holding Co. through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.91 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Taiba Holding Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 16.40 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 10.91 SAR, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taiba Holding Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.79 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Taiba Holding Co. (4090) come from?
Earnings per share at Taiba Holding Co. grew −13.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.4 %, EBIT margin −4.6 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Taiba Holding Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The market capitalisation of Taiba Holding Co. is 8.1B SAR (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taiba Holding Co. is 5.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Earnings per share at Taiba Holding Co. are 0.7100 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The dividend yield of Taiba Holding Co. is 2.4% (payout 56.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The net margin of Taiba Holding Co. is 23.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taiba Holding Co. is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taiba Holding Co. is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
The operating margin of Taiba Holding Co. is 20.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Revenue at Taiba Holding Co. is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +60.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Taiba Holding Co. (4090)?
Earnings per share at Taiba Holding Co. are growing −28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Taiba Holding Co. (4090) generate?
The free cash flow of Taiba Holding Co. is −227M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Taiba Holding Co. (4090) carry?
The net debt of Taiba Holding Co. is 2.1B SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 29, 2026