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Taiba Investment Company (4090) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 8.9B SAR

TI Taiba Investment Company 4090 · SR
Price17.83 SAR
Fair Value12.40 SAR
Upside-30.5%
Quality41/100
Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 25.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 65/100
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Evidence: High Range 9.30 SAR – 15.50 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.50 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

21.67 SAR 15.48 SAR Fair Value 12.40 SAR May 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 15.48 SAR – 21.67 SAR · fair‑value band 9.30 SAR – 15.50 SAR · the 17.83 SAR price screens above the 12.40 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Taiba Investment Company (4090) currently trades at 17.83 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.40 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 30.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Taiba Investment Company generated revenue of 1.4B SAR at a net margin of 25.7%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 2.1B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.30 SAR (bear case) to 15.50 SAR (bull case); at 17.83 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -30%, 4090 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1%
Net margin 25.7%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow −227M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 24.7
More key figures
Operating margin 38.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.7200 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -5.0%
Net debt 2.1B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100
Profitability 35
Quality Growth 38
Cashflow 31
Fin. Strength 56
Investment 0
Low Volatility 83
Momentum 41
52W Momentum 33
Net Issuance 39

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taiba Investment Company invests in, buys, develops, sells, leases, operates, and manages real estate and hospitality projects in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Real Estate, Tourism, and Property Management segments. The company leases residential and commercial centers, as well as offers property-level management and related services.

Full company description

Taiba Investment Company invests in, buys, develops, sells, leases, operates, and manages real estate and hospitality projects in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Real Estate, Tourism, and Property Management segments. The company leases residential and commercial centers, as well as offers property-level management and related services. It is also involved in the operation and accommodation of hotels, hotel apartments, serviced suites, and tourist resorts, as well as offers Hajj services. In addition, the company engages in the management and operations of hotels and other properties. Further, it buys, sells, leases, operates, and manages hospitals, recreational and other residential, and non-residential and tourism facilities. Additionally, the company enages in the development, construction, and maintenance of commercial, residential, and other real estate facilities; architectural, civil, mechanical, electrical, and agricultural contracting activities; and industrial and mining business, as well as offers credit and mortgage services. The company was formerly known as Taiba Holding Co. and changed its name to Taiba Investment Company in May 2019. Taiba Investment Company was founded in 1976 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Taiba Investment Company reported revenue of 1.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 131M SAR in FY2021, a compound +79.7%/yr. Reported net income was 365M SAR in FY2025.

Revenue +79.7%/yr
FY21 131M SAR
FY22 330M SAR
FY23 536M SAR
FY24 1.3B SAR
FY25 1.4B SAR
Net income
FY21 −124M SAR
FY22 140M SAR
FY23 110M SAR
FY24 334M SAR
FY25 365M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taiba Investment Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4090

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 2
FUTURE 41 / 18
PAST 20 / 11
HEALTH 88 / 91
DIVIDEND 0 / 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $384.19 $135.68 -65%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $338.22 $107.21 -68%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $170.05 $85.18 -50%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $196.33 $106.17 -46%
Accor SA ACRFF $57.35 $32.74 -43%
H World Group HTHT $42.41 $62.93 +48%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹733.00 ₹302.18 -59%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $81.96 $21.67 -74%
Whitbread plc WTBDY $8.28 $6.71 -19%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taiba Investment Company (4090) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.40 SAR versus a price of 17.83 SAR, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4090?
Our model-based fair value for Taiba Investment Company is 12.40 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 17.83 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4090?
Taiba Investment Company has a Quality Score of 41/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Taiba Investment Company (4090)?
Taiba Investment Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4090?
The net profit margin of Taiba Investment Company is about 25.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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