The Indian Hotels Company (INDHOTEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹1.1T
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ₹318.03 to ₹260.68 (−18.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹392.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹172.29 to ₹392.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹90.21 – ₹883.11 · fair‑value band ₹172.29 – ₹392.84 · the ₹736.00 price screens above the ₹260.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
The Indian Hotels Company (INDHOTEL) currently trades at ₹736.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹260.68, implying the stock looks roughly 64.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Indian Hotels Company generated revenue of ₹99.7B at a net margin of 20.9%. Revenue grew 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at ₹10.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹172.29 (bear case) to ₹392.84 (bull case); at ₹736.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -65%, INDHOTEL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹318.42) versus Dividend Discount (₹41.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Indian Hotels Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and manages hotels, palaces and resorts in India and internationally. It operates through two segments: Hotel Services and Air and Institutional Catering.
Full company description
The Indian Hotels Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and manages hotels, palaces and resorts in India and internationally. It operates through two segments: Hotel Services and Air and Institutional Catering. The company operates hotels under the Taj, Claridges Collection, SeleQtions, GATEWAY, Vivanta, Ginger, Tree of Life, amã Stays & Trails, Qmin, and Taj Sats brand names. It also provides trails, stays, restaurants, bars, clubs, spas, salons, food and beverages, and boutique services. The Indian Hotels Company Limited was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
The Indian Hotels Company reported revenue of ₹96.9B in FY2026 versus ₹31.3B in FY2022, a compound +32.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹20.8B in FY2026.
INDHOTEL screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH | $111.29 | $62.55 | -44% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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