Makkah Construction and Development Company (4100) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 16.2B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −1.2% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45.35 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (23.49 SAR to 45.35 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 67.48 SAR – 104.23 SAR · fair‑value band 23.49 SAR – 45.35 SAR · the 81.95 SAR price screens above the 36.25 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Makkah Construction and Development Company (4100) currently trades at 81.95 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.25 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 55.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Makkah Construction and Development Company generated revenue of 516M SAR at a net margin of 43.0%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at 31.0M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 23.49 SAR (bear case) to 45.35 SAR (bull case); at 81.95 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -56%, 4100 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Makkah Construction and Development Company invests in, owns, develops, manages, purchases, and leases properties near Al Masjid Al Haram in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through The Commercial Center, Hotels and towers, Hajj and Umrah, and Investment sector segment.
Full company description
Makkah Construction and Development Company invests in, owns, develops, manages, purchases, and leases properties near Al Masjid Al Haram in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through The Commercial Center, Hotels and towers, Hajj and Umrah, and Investment sector segment. It engages in the engineering works, including building, constructing, repairing, and demolishing works, as well as operates hotels; and offers Hajj and Umrah services. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Mecca, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Makkah Construction and Development Company reported revenue of 1.1B SAR in FY2026 versus 253M SAR in FY2022, a compound +43.5%/yr. Reported net income was 474M SAR in FY2026, compounding +46.2%/yr from FY2022.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $386.23 | $94.01 | -76% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $338.15 | $103.43 | -69% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $171.02 | $76.89 | -55% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $185.21 | $129.11 | -30% |
| Accor SA ACRFF | $57.35 | $44.53 | -22% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.66 | $47.39 | +11% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹665.85 | ₹281.13 | -58% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $82.02 | $23.92 | -71% |
| Whitbread plc WTBDY | $8.28 | $6.71 | -19% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 115,600 KRW | 28,940 KRW | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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