Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co stock SAR 5.14, price SAR 11.00, upside -53.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.72 SAR – 40.80 SAR · fair‑value band 3.85 SAR – 6.42 SAR · the 11.00 SAR price screens above the 5.14 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Al Khaleej Training and Education Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates schools for primary and secondary education with an international curriculum in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Other Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally.
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It operates through Training, Universities, Management Projects and Others, Call Centre, and Schools segments. The Training segment provides training programs related to language and computers to individuals and corporate customers.
The Universities segment offers academic staff for the orientation years according to the basis and standards set by the universities and managing human resources for the universities.
The Management Projects and Others segment offers qualified skilled personnel, as well as support services to corporate customers, such as security maintenance and operational systems management.
The Call Centre segment manages and operates customer service centres via telephone and digital technologies for government and private customers.
The Schools segment operates private educational schools for kinder garden to grade 12. It also operates IT and computer training, and teaching languages and communication skills institutes; and provides management consulting services and integrated office administrative services.
In addition, the company engages in information, communications, administrative activities, and support services; computer systems consultancies; training in human resource behavior; computer skills training; and professional online career network for job seekers and employers to connect.
Further, it offers training courses for English and IT, as well as self-study and classroom-based language courses. Al Khaleej Training and Education Company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290) currently trades at 11.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.14 SAR, 53.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 9.38 SAR per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the 11.00 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.75 SAR, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 3.85 SAR (bear) to 6.42 SAR (bull), the price of 11.00 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Alkhaleej Training & Education Co reported revenue of 1.2B SAR in FY2025 versus 844M SAR in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 15.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 715M SAR (≈ $191M) Micro · P/E ratio 39.3 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) 0.2800 SAR · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −53%, 4290 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear3.85 SARFair Value 5.14 SARBull6.42 SAR
Price 11.00 SAR · Upside -53.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2317 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.5% vs −17.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.9% a year for the price.
Compare Alkhaleej Training & Education Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 118 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−53.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−10.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)39.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.26× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow4.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA6.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)70· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alkhaleej Training & Education Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4290
Frequently asked questions
Is Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.14 SAR versus a price of 11.00 SAR, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4290?
Our model-based fair value for Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 5.14 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4290?
Alkhaleej Training & Education Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.14 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.85 SAR, optimistic scenario 6.42 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alkhaleej Training & Education Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.14 SAR, about −53% upside versus a price of 11.00 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.85 SAR, optimistic scenario 6.42 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Alkhaleej Training & Education Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alkhaleej Training & Education Co would have to grow free cash flow by +13.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.1 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4290 use?
Our models discount Alkhaleej Training & Education Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alkhaleej Training & Education Co that is +13.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alkhaleej Training & Education Co grew +9.1 % a year. The price currently implies +13.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (+13.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.30 %: that much free cash flow Alkhaleej Training & Education Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alkhaleej Training & Education Co it is 5.14 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of 11.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alkhaleej Training & Education Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 4290 trades above its calculated fair value: price 11.00 SAR, fair value 5.14 SAR, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4290?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.14 SAR). For Alkhaleej Training & Education Co the two are 5.86 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alkhaleej Training & Education Co worth?
The market values Alkhaleej Training & Education Co at about 715M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is 11.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 5.14 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4290?
Our models span a range for Alkhaleej Training & Education Co: cautious scenario 3.85 SAR, base 5.14 SAR, optimistic 6.42 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price 11.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4290?
Alkhaleej Training & Education Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.3 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.14 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4290 from its 52-week high?
Alkhaleej Training & Education Co trades at 11.00 SAR, about 63% below its 52-week high of 29.38 SAR and 13% above the low of 9.72 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.14 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alkhaleej Training & Education Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alkhaleej Training & Education Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price 11.00 SAR, calculated fair value 5.14 SAR (−53%), Quality Score 47/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4290 calculated?
We run Alkhaleej Training & Education Co through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.14 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Alkhaleej Training & Education Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 11.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 5.14 SAR, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alkhaleej Training & Education Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.42 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The market capitalisation of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 715M SAR (≈ $191M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Earnings per share at Alkhaleej Training & Education Co are 0.2800 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The net margin of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
The operating margin of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Revenue at Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is growing −10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290)?
Earnings per share at Alkhaleej Training & Education Co are growing −17.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Alkhaleej Training & Education Co (4290) carry?
The net debt of Alkhaleej Training & Education Co is 1.3B SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 19.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 27, 2026