National Company (4291) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 5.5B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −2.1% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (79.42 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (33.02 SAR to 79.42 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 106.00 SAR – 178.92 SAR · fair‑value band 33.02 SAR – 79.42 SAR · the 126.80 SAR price screens above the 60.73 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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National Company (4291) currently trades at 126.80 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 60.73 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, National Company generated revenue of 736M SAR at a net margin of 23.6%. Revenue grew 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. Net debt stands at 740M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 33.02 SAR (bear case) to 79.42 SAR (bull case); at 126.80 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -52%, 4291 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
National Company for Learning and Education, together with its subsidiaries, owns, establishes, manages, and operates kindergarten, primary, middle, and secondary schools in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Full company description
National Company for Learning and Education, together with its subsidiaries, owns, establishes, manages, and operates kindergarten, primary, middle, and secondary schools in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates 4 educational complexes using the Saudi national curriculum, as well as American international curriculum under the Tarbya Namouthajiya Schools brand. It also invests in sports, entertainment, and sports clubs for school students. The company was formerly known as Tarniyah Namouthajiyah Schools Company and changed its name to National Company for Learning and Education in 2004. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
National Company reported revenue of 658M SAR in FY2025 versus 176M SAR in FY2021, a compound +39.0%/yr. Reported net income was 161M SAR in FY2025, compounding +60.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 895.77 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group T1AL34 | R$4.84 | R$0.5800 | -88% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $33.82 | $33.05 | -2% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹130.16 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $152.57 | $112.68 | -26% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $124.45 | $150.42 | +21% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $97.91 | $139.18 | +42% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $39.75 | $20.63 | -48% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $35.22 | $61.71 | +75% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $77.14 | $123.18 | +60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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