Ataa Educational Co (4292) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ataa Educational Co stock SAR 46.91, price SAR 30.78, upside +52.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.42 SAR – 78.46 SAR · fair‑value band 27.48 SAR – 63.60 SAR · the 30.78 SAR price screens below the 46.91 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Ataa Educational Company engages in the establishment of private and international, kindergarten, primary, intermediate, and secondary schools for boys and girls in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Education and Employment segments.
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The company establishes and manages private, international, and French and Indian schools; establishes colleges and universities; and engages in mediating in employing and online recruitment agencies.
It is also involved in owning, establishment, management, operation, and maintenance of vocational and other training centers, private educational schools, and educational and training institutes; purchasing existing schools, and educational and training facilities; and construction of non-residential buildings, such as schools, hospitals and hotels, and educational transportation.
The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Ataa Educational Co (4292) currently trades at 30.78 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 46.91 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 45.79 SAR per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the 30.78 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 16.72 SAR, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 27.48 SAR (bear) to 63.60 SAR (bull), the price of 30.78 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ataa Educational Co reported revenue of 661M SAR in FY2026 versus 577M SAR in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 97.3M SAR in FY2026, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B SAR (≈ $345M) Small · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 1.94 · EPS (TTM) 2.31 SAR · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 14.6% · Return on equity 11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 52%, 4292 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear27.48 SARFair Value 46.91 SARBull63.60 SAR
Price 30.78 SAR · Upside +52.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1895 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+20.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.6% vs −0.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 24%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 117 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+52.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.1% · Above median
Return on assets4.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)14.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)26.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−14.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ataa Educational Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4292
Frequently asked questions
Is Ataa Educational Co (4292) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 46.91 SAR versus a price of 30.78 SAR, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4292?
Our model-based fair value for Ataa Educational Co is 46.91 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 30.78 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4292?
Ataa Educational Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 46.91 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 27.48 SAR, optimistic scenario 63.60 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ataa Educational Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 46.91 SAR, about +52% upside versus a price of 30.78 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 27.48 SAR, optimistic scenario 63.60 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Ataa Educational Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 669M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Ataa Educational Co pay a dividend?
Ataa Educational Co currently shows a dividend yield of 4.87% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ataa Educational Co would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.8 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4292 use?
Our models discount Ataa Educational Co at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ataa Educational Co that is +7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ataa Educational Co (4292) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ataa Educational Co grew +18.8 % a year. The price currently implies +7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ataa Educational Co (4292) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ataa Educational Co (+7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.01 %: that much free cash flow Ataa Educational Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ataa Educational Co it is 46.91 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 30.78 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ataa Educational Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4292 trades below its calculated fair value: price 30.78 SAR, fair value 46.91 SAR, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4292?
No. The price is what the market pays today (30.78 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (46.91 SAR). For Ataa Educational Co the two are 16.13 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ataa Educational Co worth?
The market values Ataa Educational Co at about 1.3B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 30.78 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 46.91 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4292?
Our models span a range for Ataa Educational Co: cautious scenario 27.48 SAR, base 46.91 SAR, optimistic 63.60 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 30.78 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4292?
Ataa Educational Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 46.91 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 8.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ataa Educational Co (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 11.1%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4292 from its 52-week high?
Ataa Educational Co trades at 30.78 SAR, about 53% below its 52-week high of 65.39 SAR and 8% above the low of 28.42 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 46.91 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ataa Educational Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ataa Educational Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 30.78 SAR, calculated fair value 46.91 SAR (+52%), Quality Score 60/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4292 calculated?
We run Ataa Educational Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 46.91 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Ataa Educational Co currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 30.78 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 46.91 SAR, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ataa Educational Co right now?
Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (27.48 SAR to 63.60 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ataa Educational Co (4292) come from?
Earnings per share at Ataa Educational Co grew −6.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin −4.9 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ataa Educational Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The market capitalisation of Ataa Educational Co is 1.3B SAR (≈ $345M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ataa Educational Co is 1.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Earnings per share at Ataa Educational Co are 2.31 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The dividend yield of Ataa Educational Co is 4.9% (payout 64.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The net margin of Ataa Educational Co is 14.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ataa Educational Co is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ataa Educational Co is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
The operating margin of Ataa Educational Co is 26.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Revenue at Ataa Educational Co is growing −14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ataa Educational Co (4292)?
Earnings per share at Ataa Educational Co are growing −70.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ataa Educational Co (4292) carry?
The net debt of Ataa Educational Co is 618M SAR (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 28, 2026