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Ataa Educational Company (4292) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 1.9B SAR

AE Ataa Educational Company 4292 · SR
Price44.92 SAR
Fair Value28.22 SAR
Upside-37.2%
Quality52/100
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.33% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
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Evidence: High Range 16.73 SAR – 46.75 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.4% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (16.73 SAR to 46.75 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

66.69 SAR 42.76 SAR Fair Value 28.22 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 42.76 SAR – 66.69 SAR · fair‑value band 16.73 SAR – 46.75 SAR · the 44.92 SAR price screens above the 28.22 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Ataa Educational Company (4292) currently trades at 44.92 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 28.22 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 37.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ataa Educational Company generated revenue of 647M SAR at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 1.0B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 16.73 SAR (bear case) to 46.75 SAR (bull case); at 44.92 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -37%, 4292 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 647M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.8%
Net margin 14.2%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow 84.2M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin 22.6%
EPS (TTM) 2.05 SAR
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.8%
Net debt 1.0B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100
Profitability 34
Quality Growth 53
Cashflow 69
Fin. Strength 33
Investment 78
Low Volatility 83
Momentum 22
52W Momentum 9
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ataa Educational Company engages in the establishment of private and international, kindergarten, primary, intermediate, and secondary schools for boys and girls in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Education and Employment segments.

Full company description

Ataa Educational Company engages in the establishment of private and international, kindergarten, primary, intermediate, and secondary schools for boys and girls in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Education and Employment segments. The company establishes and manages private, international, and French and Indian schools; establishes colleges and universities; and engages in mediating in employing and online recruitment agencies. It is also involved in owning, establishment, management, operation, and maintenance of vocational and other training centers, private educational schools, and educational and training institutes; purchasing existing schools, and educational and training facilities; and construction of non-residential buildings, such as schools, hospitals and hotels, and educational transportation. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ataa Educational Company reported revenue of 641M SAR in FY2025 versus 280M SAR in FY2021, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was 82.8M SAR in FY2025, compounding +23.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +23.0%/yr
FY21 280M SAR
FY22 577M SAR
FY23 666M SAR
FY24 679M SAR
FY25 641M SAR
Net income +23.6%/yr
FY21 35.5M SAR
FY22 70.6M SAR
FY23 67.8M SAR
FY24 63.4M SAR
FY25 82.8M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ataa Educational Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4292

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 36
FUTURE 0 / 22
PAST 43 / 17
HEALTH 71 / 95
DIVIDEND 67 / 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 51.39 MXN -95%
TAL Education Group T1AL34 R$4.86 R$0.9200 -81%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $37.19 $41.45 +11%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹130.16 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $119.28 $137.46 +15%
Stride, Inc LRN $99.84 $139.45 +40%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $43.57 $22.42 -49%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $76.45 $123.18 +61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ataa Educational Company (4292) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 28.22 SAR versus a price of 44.92 SAR, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4292?
Our model-based fair value for Ataa Educational Company is 28.22 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 44.92 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4292?
Ataa Educational Company has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ataa Educational Company (4292)?
Ataa Educational Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 647M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4292?
The net profit margin of Ataa Educational Company is about 14.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ataa Educational Company pay a dividend?
Ataa Educational Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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