Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chumpower Machinery Corp stock TWD 18.49, price TWD 20.15, that is 8.2% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 17.78 TWD – 36.18 TWD · fair‑value band 14.87 TWD – 22.76 TWD · the 20.15 TWD price screens above the 18.49 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Chumpower Machinery Corporation engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of all-electric blow molding machines, molds, and precision drill chucks in Taiwan, China, Africa, the Middle East, the United States, Thailand, and internationally.
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The company offers linear stretch PET stretch blow molding machine, PET stretch blow molding machine, large volume PET stretch blow molding machine, and single-stage injection stretch blow molding machine.
Its products are used in mineral water, bottled water, juice, edible oil, alcoholic drinks, soda drinks, bottles, cosmetics, milk bottles, household, beverage bottles, and wide mouth jar applications. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575) currently trades at 20.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.49 TWD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 21.58 TWD per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the 20.15 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 8.39 TWD, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 14.87 TWD (bear) to 22.76 TWD (bull), the price of 20.15 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Chumpower Machinery Corp reported revenue of 968M TWD in FY2025 versus 877M TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 42.1M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 779M TWD (≈ $23.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 14.0 · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) 1.44 TWD · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −8%, 4575 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear14.87 TWDFair Value 18.49 TWDBull22.76 TWD
Price 20.15 TWD · Downside -8.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1201 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +3.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 1%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.4%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.92 per share, median 2.70 in 2017 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−6.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)6.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−7.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)6.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.49 TWD versus a price of 20.15 TWD, about 8% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4575?
Our model-based fair value for Chumpower Machinery Corp is 18.49 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.15 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4575?
Chumpower Machinery Corp has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.49 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.87 TWD, optimistic scenario 22.76 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chumpower Machinery Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.49 TWD, about 8% lower versus a price of 20.15 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 14.87 TWD, optimistic scenario 22.76 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Chumpower Machinery Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 933M TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Chumpower Machinery Corp pay a dividend?
Chumpower Machinery Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 6.45% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chumpower Machinery Corp pays a dividend of 1.30 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 23, 2026. The payout ratio is 90.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chumpower Machinery Corp it is 18.49 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 20.15 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Chumpower Machinery Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 4575 trades above its calculated fair value: price 20.15 TWD, fair value 18.49 TWD, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4575?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.15 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.49 TWD). For Chumpower Machinery Corp the two are 1.66 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chumpower Machinery Corp worth?
The market values Chumpower Machinery Corp at about 779M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 20.15 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 18.49 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4575?
Our models span a range for Chumpower Machinery Corp: cautious scenario 14.87 TWD, base 18.49 TWD, optimistic 22.76 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 20.15 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4575?
Chumpower Machinery Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.0 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.49 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings: 17.7. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 9.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chumpower Machinery Corp (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4575 from its 52-week high?
Chumpower Machinery Corp trades at 20.15 TWD, about 44% below its 52-week high of 36.18 TWD and 2% above the low of 19.85 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.49 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chumpower Machinery Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chumpower Machinery Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 20.15 TWD, calculated fair value 18.49 TWD (−8%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4575 calculated?
We run Chumpower Machinery Corp through 15 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 18.49 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chumpower Machinery Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 20.15 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 18.49 TWD, about 8% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chumpower Machinery Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Chumpower Machinery Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The market capitalisation of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 779M TWD (≈ $23.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 0.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Earnings per share at Chumpower Machinery Corp are 1.44 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The dividend yield of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 6.5% (payout 90.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The net margin of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 6.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
The operating margin of Chumpower Machinery Corp is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Revenue at Chumpower Machinery Corp is growing −7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575)?
Earnings per share at Chumpower Machinery Corp are growing +180% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575) generate?
The free cash flow of Chumpower Machinery Corp is −15.9M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chumpower Machinery Corp (4575) carry?
The net debt of Chumpower Machinery Corp is 208M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 3, 2026