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Chumpower Machinery Corporation (4575) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 870M TWD

CM Chumpower Machinery Corporation 4575 · TWO
Price22.40 TWD
Fair Value18.49 TWD
Upside-17.5%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.88% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range 13.87 TWD – 21.25 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.25 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

39.06 TWD 17.78 TWD Fair Value 18.49 TWD Jul 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.78 TWD – 39.06 TWD · fair‑value band 13.87 TWD – 21.25 TWD · the 22.40 TWD price screens above the 18.49 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Chumpower Machinery Corporation (4575) currently trades at 22.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.49 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 17.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chumpower Machinery Corporation generated revenue of 968M TWD at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 208M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.87 TWD (bear case) to 21.25 TWD (bull case); at 22.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -17%, 4575 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 20.99 TWD 20.59 TWD 17.20 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 7.23 TWD 7.41 TWD 7.56 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 15.54 TWD 16.75 TWD 18.55 TWD 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 18.47 TWD 22.29 TWD 28.69 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 7.40 TWD 9.04 TWD 10.17 TWD 54
EPV 7.23 TWD 7.41 TWD 7.56 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 15.54 TWD 16.75 TWD 18.55 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 15.54 TWD 18.50 TWD 22.31 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 17.13 TWD 22.84 TWD 28.55 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 13.87 TWD 18.49 TWD 23.11 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 13.87 TWD 18.49 TWD 23.11 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 10.11 TWD 11.51 TWD 12.91 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 19.96 TWD 24.65 TWD 29.33 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 8.91 TWD 10.19 TWD 11.48 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.95 TWD 20.03 TWD 29.90 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20.99 TWD 20.59 TWD 17.20 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 7.23 TWD 7.41 TWD 7.56 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 12.09 TWD 17.28 TWD 22.46 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (22.29 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (7.41 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 968M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.6%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 3.6%
Free cash flow −15.9M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 20.8
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) 1.08 TWD
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -22.9%
Net debt 208M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chumpower Machinery Corporation engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of all-electric blow molding machines, molds, and precision drill chucks in Taiwan, China, Africa, the Middle East, the United States, Thailand, and internationally.

Full company description

Chumpower Machinery Corporation engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of all-electric blow molding machines, molds, and precision drill chucks in Taiwan, China, Africa, the Middle East, the United States, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers linear stretch PET stretch blow molding machine, PET stretch blow molding machine, large volume PET stretch blow molding machine, and single-stage injection stretch blow molding machine. Its products are used in mineral water, bottled water, juice, edible oil, alcoholic drinks, soda drinks, bottles, cosmetics, milk bottles, household, beverage bottles, and wide mouth jar applications. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chumpower Machinery Corporation reported revenue of 968M TWD in FY2025 versus 877M TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 42.1M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
968M TWD
Latest YoY
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 877M TWD
FY22 1.1B TWD
FY23 1.0B TWD
FY24 993M TWD
FY25 968M TWD
Net income
FY21 −13.1M TWD
FY22 65.7M TWD
FY23 54.0M TWD
FY24 78.2M TWD
FY25 42.1M TWD

4575 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chumpower Machinery Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4575

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 0
FUTURE 53 · sector 23
PAST 14 · sector 28
HEALTH 91 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chumpower Machinery Corporation (4575) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.49 TWD versus a price of 22.40 TWD, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4575?
Our model-based fair value for Chumpower Machinery Corporation is 18.49 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 22.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4575?
Chumpower Machinery Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chumpower Machinery Corporation (4575)?
Chumpower Machinery Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 968M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4575?
The net profit margin of Chumpower Machinery Corporation is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chumpower Machinery Corporation pay a dividend?
Chumpower Machinery Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.51% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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