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Jufan Industrial Co (4584) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 1.2B TWD

JI Jufan Industrial Co 4584 · TWO
Price40.00 TWD
Fair Value59.50 TWD
Upside+48.8%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.06% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range 41.65 TWD – 77.35 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (41.65 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (41.65 TWD to 77.35 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

67.47 TWD 34.57 TWD Fair Value 59.50 TWD Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range 34.57 TWD – 67.47 TWD · fair‑value band 41.65 TWD – 77.35 TWD · the 40.00 TWD price screens below the 59.50 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Jufan Industrial Co (4584) currently trades at 40.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 59.50 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jufan Industrial Co generated revenue of 1.3B TWD at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue declined 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at 35.9M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 41.65 TWD (bear case) to 77.35 TWD (bull case); at 40.00 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 49%, 4584 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 29.10 TWD 31.52 TWD 36.00 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 39.84 TWD 46.25 TWD 53.12 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 17.09 TWD 28.70 TWD 41.12 TWD 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 17.68 TWD 22.29 TWD 28.10 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 23.30 TWD 58.55 TWD 76.03 TWD 54
PEG = 1.0 10.77 TWD 15.38 TWD 20.00 TWD 46
EPV 39.27 TWD 43.92 TWD 47.80 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 17.09 TWD 28.70 TWD 41.12 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 17.09 TWD 24.45 TWD 31.37 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 53.96 TWD 71.94 TWD 89.93 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 43.68 TWD 58.24 TWD 72.80 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 43.68 TWD 58.24 TWD 72.80 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 82.01 TWD 107.64 TWD 133.26 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 82.20 TWD 107.88 TWD 133.56 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 60.01 TWD 83.52 TWD 107.03 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.57 TWD 23.55 TWD 35.15 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 29.10 TWD 31.52 TWD 36.00 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 39.84 TWD 46.25 TWD 53.12 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 41.65 TWD 59.50 TWD 77.35 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (71.94 TWD) versus DCF Models (22.29 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -26.2%
Net margin 7.4%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow −17.2M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.7%
EPS (TTM) 3.42 TWD
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -31.1%
Net debt 35.9M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jufan Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in the designing, production and sale of pneumatic and hydraulic components, and integrated electronic pneumatic and hydraulic systems in Taiwan and worlwide.

Full company description

Jufan Industrial Co., Ltd. engages in the designing, production and sale of pneumatic and hydraulic components, and integrated electronic pneumatic and hydraulic systems in Taiwan and worlwide. The company offers hydraulic products, such as tie-rod hydraulic, compact hydraulic, swivel and clamp hydraulic, mold hydraulic, ISO specifications, and round hydraulic cylinders; and hydraulic control valves, including hydraulic pressure, hydraulic direction, and hydraulic flow control valves, as well as hydraulic accessories. It also provides pneumatic control components, pneumatic actuators, and pneumatic auxiliary components, as well as combo particulate filters, regulators, and lubricators. The company serves tire machinery, construction machinery, machine tool, recycle, medical, injection machine, and metallurgy industries. Jufan Industrial Co., Ltd. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jufan Industrial Co reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 103M TWD in FY2025, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B TWD
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 1.1B TWD
FY22 1.0B TWD
FY23 1.0B TWD
FY24 1.3B TWD
FY25 1.3B TWD
Net income −4.4%/yr
FY21 123M TWD
FY22 92.1M TWD
FY23 91.0M TWD
FY24 108M TWD
FY25 103M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jufan Industrial Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4584

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -26% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 98 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 33 · sector 28
HEALTH 92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jufan Industrial Co (4584) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 59.50 TWD versus a price of 40.00 TWD, about +49% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4584?
Our model-based fair value for Jufan Industrial Co is 59.50 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 40.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4584?
Jufan Industrial Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jufan Industrial Co (4584)?
Jufan Industrial Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4584?
The net profit margin of Jufan Industrial Co is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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