Techman Robot Inc. (4585) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Techman Robot Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value 55.94 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 51/100
✓Healthy Growth(revenue 3y +9.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
·0.34% dividend yield
!Trails peers(4/12)
!Narrow moat43/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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Techman Robot Inc. provides collaborative robots, software, and application-based solutions in Taiwan, China, Europe, Japan, and internationally.
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Techman Robot Inc. provides collaborative robots, software, and application-based solutions in Taiwan, China, Europe, Japan, and internationally. The company offers TM Robots; TM S series robots; TMflow that redefines flexibility in robotic control; TM 3DVision, a plug-to-use 3D vision solutions; AI vision products; TM AI+ Training Server, a software tool designed to streamline the management and training of AI models in factory automation; TM AI+ AOI Edge, a software solution designed to enhance the visual capabilities of workstations by integrating advanced vision functions; and TM Image Manager, an inspection application software designed for the vision functionality of TM AI Cobot. It also provides palletizing, welding, and autonomous mobile manipulation robot cloning solutions; TM Robot Operating System Driver; TMcraft; TMscript; plug and play; and accessories. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan. Techman Robot Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Quanta Storage Inc.
Stock analysis
Techman Robot Inc. (4585) currently trades at 298.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 55.94 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 432.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 44.01 TWD per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 298.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 12.60 TWD, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 39.16 TWD (bear) to 72.72 TWD (bull), the price of 298.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Techman Robot Inc. reported revenue of 1.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was 136M TWD in FY2025, compounding +26.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 31.2B TWD (≈ $982M) · P/E ratio 103.8 · P/S ratio 7.77 · EPS (TTM) 2.87 TWD · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −81%, 4585 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 39.16 TWDFair Value 55.94 TWDBull 72.72 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3098 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.8% (2021) → 6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)103.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.57× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)16.32× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF4.2× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)26· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Techman Robot Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4585
Frequently asked questions
Is Techman Robot Inc. (4585) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 55.94 TWD versus a price of 298.00 TWD, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4585?
Our model-based fair value for Techman Robot Inc. is 55.94 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 298.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4585?
Techman Robot Inc. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 55.94 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 39.16 TWD, optimistic scenario 72.72 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Techman Robot Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 55.94 TWD, about −81% upside versus a price of 298.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 39.16 TWD, optimistic scenario 72.72 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Techman Robot Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Techman Robot Inc. pay a dividend?
Techman Robot Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Techman Robot Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +53.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4585 use?
Our models discount Techman Robot Inc. at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Techman Robot Inc. that is +53.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Techman Robot Inc. (4585) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Techman Robot Inc. grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies +53.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Techman Robot Inc. (4585) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Techman Robot Inc. (+53.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.76 %: that much free cash flow Techman Robot Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Techman Robot Inc. it is 55.94 TWD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 298.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Techman Robot Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4585 trades above its calculated fair value: price 298.00 TWD, fair value 55.94 TWD, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4585?
No. The price is what the market pays today (298.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (55.94 TWD). For Techman Robot Inc. the two are 242.06 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Techman Robot Inc. worth?
The market values Techman Robot Inc. at about 31.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 298.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 55.94 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4585?
Our models span a range for Techman Robot Inc.: cautious scenario 39.16 TWD, base 55.94 TWD, optimistic 72.72 TWD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 298.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4585?
Techman Robot Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 55.94 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.6, P/S 16.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Balance-sheet figures for Techman Robot Inc. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 6.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4585 from its 52-week high?
Techman Robot Inc. trades at 298.00 TWD, about 64% below its 52-week high of 822.64 TWD and 5% above the low of 284.18 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 55.94 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Techman Robot Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Techman Robot Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 298.00 TWD, calculated fair value 55.94 TWD (−81%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4585 calculated?
We run Techman Robot Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 55.94 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Techman Robot Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Techman Robot Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (72.72 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (39.16 TWD to 72.72 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Techman Robot Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The market capitalisation of Techman Robot Inc. is 31.2B TWD (≈ $982M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Techman Robot Inc. is 7.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Earnings per share at Techman Robot Inc. are 2.87 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The dividend yield of Techman Robot Inc. is 0.3% (payout 34.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The net margin of Techman Robot Inc. is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Techman Robot Inc. is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Techman Robot Inc. is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
The operating margin of Techman Robot Inc. is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Revenue at Techman Robot Inc. is growing +29.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Techman Robot Inc. (4585)?
Earnings per share at Techman Robot Inc. are growing −11.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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