Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd MYR 45.94, price MYR 89.50, upside -48.7%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 60.32 MYR – 130.27 MYR · fair‑value band 34.46 MYR – 57.43 MYR · the 89.50 MYR price screens above the 45.94 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad manufactures food and beverage products in Malaysia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Food and Beverages and Others.
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Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad manufactures food and beverage products in Malaysia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Food and Beverages and Others. It markets and sells ice-cream, powdered milk and drinks, liquid milk and juices, instant coffee and other beverages, chocolate confectionery products, instant noodles, culinary products, cereals, and related products. The company also trades and deals in nutrition products. It offers its products under the Milo, Maggi, Nescafé, KitKat, DRUMSTICK, La Cremeria, MAT KOOL, CRUNCH, POLO, Nestum, OMEGA PLUS, EVERYDAY, ENERCAL COMPLETE, NESPRAY, LACTOGROW PROBIO, LACTOGROW Aktif, NANKID OPTIPRO, NANKID OPTIPRO HA, Nestlé MOM, and CERELAC, as well as Gold Corn Flakes, Honey Stars, Koko Krunch, and Original Fitnesse brands. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia. Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad operates as a subsidiary of Société des Produits Nestlé S.A.
Stock analysis
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) currently trades at 89.50 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.94 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 94.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 49.65 MYR per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the 89.50 MYR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 10.42 MYR, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 34.46 MYR (bear) to 57.43 MYR (bull), the price of 89.50 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd reported revenue of 6.9B MYR in FY2025 versus 5.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 513M MYR in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 21.0B MYR (≈ $5.1B) · P/E ratio 37.6 · P/S ratio 2.80 · EPS (TTM) 2.38 MYR · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 101% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −49%, 4707 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 34.46 MYRFair Value 45.94 MYRBull 57.43 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1317 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2% vs −1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.3% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 646 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)101% · Top 25%
Return on assets14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)37.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.93× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF6.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA5.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG2.31× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)32· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)49· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4707
Frequently asked questions
Is Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.94 MYR versus a price of 89.50 MYR, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4707?
Our model-based fair value for Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 45.94 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 89.50 MYR.
What is the quality score of 4707?
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 45.94 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.46 MYR, optimistic scenario 57.43 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 45.94 MYR, about −49% upside versus a price of 89.50 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 34.46 MYR, optimistic scenario 57.43 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd pay a dividend?
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4707 use?
Our models discount Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd that is +13.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies +13.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (+13.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.91 %: that much free cash flow Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd it is 45.94 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 89.50 MYR. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4707 trades above its calculated fair value: price 89.50 MYR, fair value 45.94 MYR, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4707?
No. The price is what the market pays today (89.50 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (45.94 MYR). For Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd the two are 43.56 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd worth?
The market values Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd at about 21.0B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 89.50 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 45.94 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4707?
Our models span a range for Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd: cautious scenario 34.46 MYR, base 45.94 MYR, optimistic 57.43 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 89.50 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4707?
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 45.94 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.3, P/B 8.9, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 5.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 4707?
The PEG ratio of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 2.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 100.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4707 from its 52-week high?
Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd trades at 89.50 MYR, about 26% below its 52-week high of 120.89 MYR and at the low of 89.16 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 45.94 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 89.50 MYR, calculated fair value 45.94 MYR (−49%), Quality Score 77/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4707 calculated?
We run Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 45.94 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 89.50 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 45.94 MYR, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (57.43 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Where does the earnings growth of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) come from?
Earnings per share at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd grew −1.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin −3.3 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The market capitalisation of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 21.0B MYR (≈ $5.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 2.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Earnings per share at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd are 2.38 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The dividend yield of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 2.5% (payout 92.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The net margin of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 23.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
The operating margin of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Revenue at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707)?
Earnings per share at Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd are growing +27.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd (4707) carry?
The net debt of Nestle (Malaysia) Bhd is 1.1B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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