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Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (4707) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · MY · Market cap 21.6B MYR

NM Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad 4707 · KLSE
Price101.40 MYR
Fair Value45.94 MYR
Upside-54.7%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.43% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range 34.46 MYR – 57.43 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +11.3% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (57.43 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

130.27 MYR 60.32 MYR Fair Value 45.94 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 60.32 MYR – 130.27 MYR · fair‑value band 34.46 MYR – 57.43 MYR · the 101.40 MYR price screens above the 45.94 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (4707) currently trades at 101.40 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.94 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad generated revenue of 7.0B MYR at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 100.7%. Net debt stands at 1.1B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.46 MYR (bear case) to 57.43 MYR (bull case); at 101.40 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -55%, 4707 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 38.57 MYR 54.26 MYR 75.75 MYR 80
Residual Income 8.65 MYR 10.42 MYR 53.69 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 31.28 MYR 46.82 MYR 63.64 MYR 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 37.51 MYR 54.44 MYR 78.72 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 26.85 MYR 38.98 MYR 56.35 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 31.28 MYR 46.37 MYR 64.85 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 36.55 MYR 55.79 MYR 77.23 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 32.86 MYR 49.19 MYR 65.42 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 32.41 MYR 46.36 MYR 63.48 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 36.57 MYR 52.73 MYR 72.53 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 34.25 MYR 48.27 MYR 63.90 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 14.88 MYR 35.72 MYR 46.11 MYR 54
PEG = 1.0 6.28 MYR 8.97 MYR 11.66 MYR 46
EPV 23.31 MYR 27.20 MYR 30.59 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 18.73 MYR 33.18 MYR 51.53 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 18.73 MYR 27.95 MYR 38.07 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 34.46 MYR 45.94 MYR 57.43 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 27.89 MYR 37.19 MYR 46.49 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 10.14 MYR 13.52 MYR 16.90 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 41.39 MYR 55.18 MYR 68.97 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 41.09 MYR 54.78 MYR 68.47 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 29.55 MYR 42.20 MYR 54.86 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.23 MYR 1.65 MYR 2.46 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 38.57 MYR 54.26 MYR 75.75 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 31.28 MYR 46.82 MYR 63.64 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8.65 MYR 10.42 MYR 53.69 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 23.71 MYR 28.10 MYR 32.26 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 26.24 MYR 37.49 MYR 48.73 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (48.27 MYR) versus Asset-Based (1.65 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.0B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.3%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 101%
Free cash flow 821M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 38.7
More key figures
Operating margin 15.1%
EPS (TTM) 2.38 MYR
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.1%
Net debt 1.1B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad manufactures food and beverage products in Malaysia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Food and Beverages and Others.

Full company description

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad manufactures food and beverage products in Malaysia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Food and Beverages and Others. It markets and sells ice-cream, powdered milk and drinks, liquid milk and juices, instant coffee and other beverages, chocolate confectionery products, instant noodles, culinary products, cereals, and related products. The company also trades and deals in nutrition products. It offers its products under the Milo, Maggi, Nescafé, KitKat, DRUMSTICK, La Cremeria, MAT KOOL, CRUNCH, POLO, Nestum, OMEGA PLUS, EVERYDAY, ENERCAL COMPLETE, NESPRAY, LACTOGROW PROBIO, LACTOGROW Aktif, NANKID OPTIPRO, NANKID OPTIPRO HA, Nestlé MOM, and CERELAC, as well as Gold Corn Flakes, Honey Stars, Koko Krunch, and Original Fitnesse brands. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia. Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad operates as a subsidiary of Société des Produits Nestlé S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad reported revenue of 6.9B MYR in FY2025 versus 5.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 513M MYR in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.9B MYR
Latest YoY
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+4.0%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 5.7B MYR
FY22 6.7B MYR
FY23 7.1B MYR
FY24 6.2B MYR
FY25 6.9B MYR
Net income −2.6%/yr
FY21 570M MYR
FY22 620M MYR
FY23 660M MYR
FY24 416M MYR
FY25 513M MYR

4707 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Britannia Industries Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4707

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 101% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 9.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.31× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 32 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (4707) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.94 MYR versus a price of 101.40 MYR, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4707?
Our model-based fair value for Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad is 45.94 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 101.40 MYR.
What is the quality score of 4707?
Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad (4707)?
Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4707?
The net profit margin of Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad pay a dividend?
Nestlé (Malaysia) Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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