Epileds Technologies, Inc (4956) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 3.1B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −14.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.14 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (7.16 TWD to 15.14 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.50 TWD – 54.70 TWD · fair‑value band 7.16 TWD – 15.14 TWD · the 31.40 TWD price screens above the 11.15 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Epileds Technologies, Inc (4956) currently trades at 31.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.15 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Epileds Technologies, Inc generated revenue of 1.3B TWD at a net margin of -6.0%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.8%. Net debt stands at 482M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.16 TWD (bear case) to 15.14 TWD (bull case); at 31.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -64%, 4956 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (18.95 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.50 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 4956 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Epileds Technologies, Inc. researches and develops, designs, manufactures, and sells blue, green, red, and white light LED wafers and chips in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers AlGalnP LED Chips and InGaN LED Chips.
Full company description
Epileds Technologies, Inc. researches and develops, designs, manufactures, and sells blue, green, red, and white light LED wafers and chips in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers AlGalnP LED Chips and InGaN LED Chips. Its LED wafers and chips are used in various applications, including landscape lighting, plant lighting, white light illumination, CCTV, and vehicle lighting; indicators of consumer electronics, light source of fax machines and scanners, backlight source of LCD monitors, indoor or outdoor display boards, automotive lightings, traffic signals, and illuminators; and high voltage LED chip, UV, and other applications. Epileds Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Epileds Technologies, Inc reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −80.3M TWD in FY2025.
4956 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 625 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
Compare Epileds Technologies, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Epileds Technologies, Inc (4956) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 4956?
What is the quality score of 4956?
What is the revenue of Epileds Technologies, Inc (4956)?
What is the net profit margin of 4956?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Epileds Technologies, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.