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500104 Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · IN · Market cap ₹953B

5 500104 500104 · BSE
Price₹365.05
Fair Value₹1,184
Upside+224.3%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.66% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹757.21 – ₹1,484 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −10.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 224% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹757.21). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹757.21 to ₹1,484) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹499.00 ₹120.09 Fair Value ₹1,184 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹120.09 – ₹499.00 · fair‑value band ₹757.21 – ₹1,484 · the ₹365.05 price screens below the ₹1,184 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

500104 (500104) currently trades at ₹365.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,184, implying the stock looks roughly 224.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at ₹508B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.1 (as of Aug 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹757.21 (bear case) to ₹1,484 (bull case); at ₹365.05, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 224%, 500104 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹1,124 ₹1,710 ₹2,569 80
Residual Income ₹503.54 ₹720.80 ₹5,741 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹788.45 ₹1,253 ₹1,767 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,089 ₹1,727 ₹2,708 38
Owner Earnings ₹616.57 ₹1,008 ₹1,611 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹788.45 ₹1,240 ₹1,797 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹590.67 ₹881.18 ₹1,201 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹705.20 ₹1,089 ₹1,474 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹859.45 ₹1,295 ₹1,840 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹757.00 ₹1,044 ₹1,388 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹830.77 ₹1,189 ₹1,595 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹470.00 ₹1,239 ₹1,619 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹238.04 ₹340.06 ₹442.08 46
EPV ₹569.15 ₹693.48 ₹803.99 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹121.51 ₹260.90 ₹446.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹121.51 ₹191.23 ₹269.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹725.74 ₹967.65 ₹1,210 63
P/S Multiple ₹881.25 ₹1,175 ₹1,469 58
P/B Multiple ₹338.95 ₹451.93 ₹564.92 55
EV/EBIT ₹533.48 ₹756.43 ₹979.38 53
EV/EBITDA ₹392.57 ₹568.55 ₹744.53 54
EV/Revenue ₹676.16 ₹1,024 ₹1,372 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹125.54 ₹168.22 ₹251.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,124 ₹1,710 ₹2,569 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹788.45 ₹1,253 ₹1,767 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹503.54 ₹720.80 ₹5,741 76
ROIC Compounder ₹609.21 ₹803.42 ₹1,028 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹592.22 ₹846.02 ₹1,100 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹1,253) versus Asset-Based (₹168.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 2,710%
Free cash flow ₹278B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.1 as of Aug 2, 2026
EPS (TTM) ₹65.47
Dividend yield 2.7%
Net debt ₹508B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

500104 reported revenue of ₹4.4T in FY2025 versus ₹3.7T in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹180B in FY2025, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹4.4T
Latest YoY
−5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 ₹3.7T
FY22 ₹4.7T
FY23 ₹4.6T
FY24 ₹4.7T
FY25 ₹4.4T
Net income +25.4%/yr
FY21 ₹72.9B
FY22 −₹69.8B
FY23 ₹160B
FY24 ₹67.4B
FY25 ₹180B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "500104 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500104

Peer Group

Energy · 1240 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Energy median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.1× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Indian Oil Corporation 530965 ₹138.50 ₹335.43 +142%
SHLPH SHLPH 8.44 PHP 6.25 PHP -26%
538567 538567 ₹1,159 ₹1,947 +68%
PXP PXP 2.48 PHP 0.3200 PHP -87%
JTF International Holdings 8479 HK$0.6100 HK$0.6700 +10%
ANDHRAPET ANDHRAPET ₹43.98 ₹15.06 -66%
PERC PERC 4.19 PHP 12.10 PHP +189%
OV OV 0.0080 PHP 0.0082 PHP +2%
Ratio Oil Explorations (1992) " Limited RATIL 4.38 ILA 3.98 ILA -9%
Shell plc SHELL 854.00 CZK 980.26 CZK +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 500104 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,184 versus a price of ₹365.05, about +224% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 500104?
Our model-based fair value for 500104 is ₹1,184 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹365.05.
What is the quality score of 500104?
500104 has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 500104?
The net profit margin of 500104 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 500104 pay a dividend?
500104 currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.66% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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