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538567 Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · IN · Market cap ₹29.0B

5 538567 538567 · BSE
Price₹1,154
Fair Value₹1,947
Upside+68.8%
Quality71/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1,460 – ₹2,434 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +15.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 69% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹1,460). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,375 ₹332.15 Fair Value ₹1,947 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹332.15 – ₹1,375 · fair‑value band ₹1,460 – ₹2,434 · the ₹1,154 price screens below the ₹1,947 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

538567 (538567) currently trades at ₹1,154, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,947, implying the stock looks roughly 68.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.4 (as of Aug 18, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1,460 (bear case) to ₹2,434 (bull case); at ₹1,154, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 69%, 538567 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹2,006 ₹3,263 ₹5,447 80
Residual Income ₹857.42 ₹1,047 ₹3,038 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,870 ₹2,972 ₹4,436 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹2,028 ₹3,429 ₹5,950 38
Owner Earnings ₹2,385 ₹4,101 ₹7,189 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,870 ₹3,007 ₹4,576 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,529 ₹2,287 ₹3,235 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,870 ₹3,007 ₹4,329 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,862 ₹2,974 ₹4,733 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,682 ₹2,439 ₹3,583 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,910 ₹2,974 ₹4,522 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹941.56 ₹4,747 ₹6,554 54
Lynch FV ₹1,287 ₹1,839 ₹2,390 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,287 ₹1,839 ₹2,390 46
EPV ₹1,888 ₹2,128 ₹2,339 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹883.19 ₹1,836 ₹2,913 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹883.19 ₹1,548 ₹1,927 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,454 ₹1,939 ₹2,423 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,454 ₹1,939 ₹2,423 58
P/B Multiple ₹826.10 ₹1,101 ₹1,377 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,771 ₹2,214 ₹2,657 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,364 ₹1,671 ₹1,978 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,800 ₹2,381 ₹2,963 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹305.96 ₹409.99 ₹611.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹2,006 ₹3,263 ₹5,447 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,870 ₹2,972 ₹4,436 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹857.42 ₹1,047 ₹3,038 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,980 ₹2,347 ₹2,748 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,614 ₹2,305 ₹2,997 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2,974) versus Asset-Based (₹409.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow ₹3.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 14.4 as of Aug 18, 2026
EPS (TTM) ₹40.23

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 78
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

538567 reported revenue of ₹40.6B in FY2026 versus ₹21.9B in FY2022, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2026, compounding +13.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹40.6B
Latest YoY
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Revenue +16.6%/yr
FY22 ₹21.9B
FY23 ₹30.0B
FY24 ₹33.0B
FY25 ₹36.3B
FY26 ₹40.6B
Net income +13.3%/yr
FY22 ₹2.1B
FY23 ₹2.3B
FY24 ₹3.1B
FY25 ₹3.6B
FY26 ₹3.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "538567 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/538567

Peer Group

Energy · 1240 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Oil & Gas” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +66% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Energy median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Indian Oil Corporation 530965 ₹138.50 ₹335.43 +142%
500104 500104 ₹390.35 ₹1,184 +203%
SHLPH SHLPH 8.44 PHP 6.25 PHP -26%
PXP PXP 2.48 PHP 0.3200 PHP -87%
JTF International Holdings 8479 HK$0.6100 HK$0.6700 +10%
ANDHRAPET ANDHRAPET ₹43.98 ₹15.06 -66%
PERC PERC 4.19 PHP 12.10 PHP +189%
OV OV 0.0080 PHP 0.0082 PHP +2%
Ratio Oil Explorations (1992) " Limited RATIL 4.38 ILA 3.98 ILA -9%
Shell plc SHELL 854.00 CZK 980.26 CZK +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 538567 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,947 versus a price of ₹1,154, about +69% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 538567?
Our model-based fair value for 538567 is ₹1,947 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,154.
What is the quality score of 538567?
538567 has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 538567?
The net profit margin of 538567 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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