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GHCL Limited (500171) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of GHCL Limited ₹480, price ₹402, upside +19.3%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
GHCL Limited
500171 · BSEUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value ₹479.96 · Undervalued (+19.3%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓2.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 51/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹194.34 – ₹724.83 · fair‑value band ₹382.79 – ₹648.82 · the ₹402.35 price screens below the ₹479.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
GHCL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells inorganic chemicals and home textile products in India.
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GHCL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells inorganic chemicals and home textile products in India. It offers light soda ash, a basic alkali products used in soap and detergents, pulp and paper, iron and steel, aluminum cleaning compounds, water softening and dyeing, in fibre-reactive dyes, effluent treatment, and chemicals products; dense soda ash for use in glass manufacturing, silicate, ultramarine, and chemical products under the LION brand name. The company also provides refined sodium bicarbonate for use in food, food dyes, poultry and animal feed, leather tanning, fire extinguishers, vegetable cleaning, blasting of metals, manufacture of chemicals, pharma, deodorizers, and personal care products. In addition, it manufactures and sells edible and industrial grade salt, as well as markets honey and spices under the Sapan and i-FLO brands. Further, the company manufactures and exports cotton yarn, polyester yarn, and home textile products, including bed sheets, bed covers, duvet sets, and comforter sets under the REKOOP, CIRKULARITY, MEDITASI, and REKOOP 2.0 brands. Additionally, manufactures food products; and wholesales food, beverages, and tobacco. GHCL Limited was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Noida, India.
Stock analysis
GHCL Limited (500171) currently trades at ₹402.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹479.96, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹902.16 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹402.35 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹95.15, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹382.79 (bear) to ₹648.82 (bull), the price of ₹402.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
GHCL Limited reported revenue of ₹31.8B in FY2025 versus ₹24.9B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.2B in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹14.3B (≈ $148M) · P/E ratio 5.8 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) ₹28.96 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 19.6% · Return on equity 12.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 19%, 500171 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹382.79
Fair Value ₹479.96
Bull ₹648.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹20.96 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹231.41
₹288.89
₹391.49
81
Growth DCF
₹236.70
₹291.19
₹380.30
79
Owner Earnings
₹307.68
₹382.56
₹516.23
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹231.41
₹288.89
₹391.49
81
Owner Earnings
₹307.68
₹382.56
₹516.23
78
5Y Revenue Exit
₹270.16
₹397.11
₹587.70
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹414.53
₹642.08
₹952.22
74
5Y P/E Exit
₹481.26
₹755.31
₹1,091
70
10Y Revenue Exit
₹243.00
₹336.68
₹441.34
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹325.62
₹473.17
₹639.12
68
10Y P/E Exit
₹360.59
₹536.27
₹714.40
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹446.70
₹700.12
₹839.66
67
EPV
₹481.04
₹541.22
₹590.06
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹83.83
₹95.15
₹106.84
69
DDM Multi-Stage
₹83.83
₹101.83
₹121.08
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹837.56
₹1,117
₹1,396
63
P/S Multiple
₹376.94
₹502.58
₹628.23
58
P/B Multiple
₹837.56
₹1,117
₹1,396
55
EV/EBIT
₹825.02
₹1,107
₹1,389
66
EV/EBITDA
₹671.51
₹902.16
₹1,133
67
EV/Revenue
₹331.37
₹482.14
₹632.92
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹208.17
₹278.95
₹416.34
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹236.70
₹291.19
₹380.30
79
Rev-Margin DCF
₹270.16
₹404.04
₹573.05
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹385.28
₹445.07
₹545.23
76
ROIC Compounder
₹483.10
₹550.93
₹617.68
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹596.68
₹852.40
₹1,108
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
53/100
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Profitability
61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 24%
2023 sits 186% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Chemicals - Major Diversified” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Basic Materials · 86 stocks
Beats the sector median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Basic Materials median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Basic Materials
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals - Major Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamines and Chemicals Limited 500120 | ₹235.00 | ₹47.45 | −80% |
| UNIVSTAR UNIVSTAR | ₹201.65 | ₹485.32 | +141% |
| Lords Chloro Alkali Limited 500284 | ₹147.95 | ₹41.77 | −72% |
| Ishan Dyes & Chemicals Limited 531109 | ₹50.59 | ₹59.26 | +17% |
| LAFFANSQ LAFFANSQ | ₹29.01 | ₹8.78 | −70% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 61.10 SAR | 67.21 SAR | +10% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 238.00 TWD | 234.23 TWD | −2% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥17.08 | ¥19.15 | +12% |
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥16.11 | ¥43.06 | +167% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is GHCL Limited (500171) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹479.96 versus a price of ₹402.35, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 500171?
Our model-based fair value for GHCL Limited is ₹479.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹402.35.
What is the quality score of 500171?
GHCL Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GHCL Limited (500171)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹479.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹382.79, optimistic scenario ₹648.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GHCL Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹479.96, about +19% upside versus a price of ₹402.35 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹382.79, optimistic scenario ₹648.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GHCL Limited (500171)?
GHCL Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹28.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GHCL Limited pay a dividend?
GHCL Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GHCL Limited (500171)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GHCL Limited it is ₹479.96 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹402.35. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GHCL Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500171 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹402.35, fair value ₹479.96, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500171?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹402.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹479.96). For GHCL Limited the two are ₹77.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GHCL Limited worth?
The market values GHCL Limited at about ₹14.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹402.35; our models calculate a fair value of ₹479.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500171?
Our models span a range for GHCL Limited: cautious scenario ₹382.79, base ₹479.96, optimistic ₹648.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹402.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500171?
GHCL Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹479.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 2.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of GHCL Limited (500171)?
Balance-sheet figures for GHCL Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.9%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500171 from its 52-week high?
GHCL Limited trades at ₹402.35, about 36% below its 52-week high of ₹632.60 and at the low of ₹402.35 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹479.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GHCL Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Diamines and Chemicals Limited, UNIVSTAR, Lords Chloro Alkali Limited, Ishan Dyes & Chemicals Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GHCL Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹402.35, calculated fair value ₹479.96 (+19%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500171 calculated?
We run GHCL Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹479.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GHCL Limited currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹402.35. Our model-based fair value is ₹479.96, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GHCL Limited right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of GHCL Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The market capitalisation of GHCL Limited is ₹14.3B (≈ $148M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GHCL Limited is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GHCL Limited (500171)?
Earnings per share at GHCL Limited are ₹28.96 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The dividend yield of GHCL Limited is 2.0% (payout 27.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The net margin of GHCL Limited is 19.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GHCL Limited is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GHCL Limited (500171)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GHCL Limited is 18.0% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GHCL Limited (500171)?
The operating margin of GHCL Limited is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GHCL Limited (500171)?
Revenue at GHCL Limited is growing −3.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GHCL Limited (500171)?
Earnings per share at GHCL Limited are growing −24.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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