Milkfood Limited (507621) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Milkfood Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹45.70 – ₹204.85 · fair‑value band ₹92.74 – ₹197.41 · the ₹82.26 price screens below the ₹129.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Milkfood Limited, together with its subsidiary, manufactures and sells dairy products in India. It offers ghee, skimmed milk powder, whole milk powder, edible grade acid casein, de-mineralized whey powder, and dairy whitener, as well as full cream milk powder and dairy creamer. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Milkfood Limited (507621) currently trades at ₹82.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹129.16, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹288.65 per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the ₹82.26 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹61.62, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹92.74 (bear) to ₹197.41 (bull), the price of ₹82.26 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Milkfood Limited reported revenue of ₹4.1B in FY2026 versus ₹3.2B in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹443M in FY2026, compounding +88.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.0B (≈ $21.1M) · P/E ratio 33.8 · P/S ratio 3.63 · EPS (TTM) ₹10.81 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 2.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 57%, 507621 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹92.74Fair Value ₹129.16Bull ₹197.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.18 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 0%
2026 sits 423% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 21.6%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Food Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1782 stocks
Beats the sector median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+69% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−39% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Milkfood Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/507621
Frequently asked questions
Is Milkfood Limited (507621) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹129.16 versus a price of ₹82.26, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 507621?
Our model-based fair value for Milkfood Limited is ₹129.16 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹82.26.
What is the quality score of 507621?
Milkfood Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹129.16 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹92.74, optimistic scenario ₹197.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Milkfood Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹129.16, about +57% upside versus a price of ₹82.26 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹92.74, optimistic scenario ₹197.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Milkfood Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Milkfood Limited pay a dividend?
Milkfood Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Milkfood Limited it is ₹129.16 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹82.26. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Milkfood Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 507621 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹82.26, fair value ₹129.16, a gap of about +57% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 507621?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹82.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹129.16). For Milkfood Limited the two are ₹46.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Milkfood Limited worth?
The market values Milkfood Limited at about ₹2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹82.26; our models calculate a fair value of ₹129.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 507621?
Our models span a range for Milkfood Limited: cautious scenario ₹92.74, base ₹129.16, optimistic ₹197.41 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹82.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 507621?
Milkfood Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹129.16 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Balance-sheet figures for Milkfood Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 507621 from its 52-week high?
Milkfood Limited trades at ₹82.26, about 6% below its 52-week high of ₹87.50 and 87% above the low of ₹43.99 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹129.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Milkfood Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value Goodricke Group, GOODRICKE, WARDWIZFBL, MLKFOOD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Milkfood Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹82.26, calculated fair value ₹129.16 (+57%), Quality Score 38/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 507621 calculated?
We run Milkfood Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹129.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Milkfood Limited currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was ₹82.26. Our model-based fair value is ₹129.16, about +57% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Milkfood Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹92.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹92.74 to ₹197.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Milkfood Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
The market capitalisation of Milkfood Limited is ₹2.0B (≈ $21.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Milkfood Limited is 3.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Earnings per share at Milkfood Limited are ₹10.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
The dividend yield of Milkfood Limited is 0.8% (payout 6.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
The net margin of Milkfood Limited is 10.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Milkfood Limited is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Milkfood Limited (507621)?
The operating margin of Milkfood Limited is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Revenue at Milkfood Limited is growing −39.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Milkfood Limited (507621)?
Earnings per share at Milkfood Limited are growing −97.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Milkfood Limited (507621) generate?
The free cash flow of Milkfood Limited is −₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Milkfood Limited (507621) carry?
The net debt of Milkfood Limited is ₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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