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Mudajaya Group (5085) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 159M MYR

MG Mudajaya Group 5085 · KLSE
Price0.2800 MYR
Fair Value0.3800 MYR
Upside+35.7%
Quality27/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.2800 MYR – 0.4700 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −3.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.40 MYR 0.2800 MYR Fair Value 0.3800 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2800 MYR – 1.40 MYR · fair‑value band 0.2800 MYR – 0.4700 MYR · the 0.2800 MYR price screens below the 0.3800 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Mudajaya Group (5085) currently trades at 0.2800 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3800 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mudajaya Group generated revenue of 219M MYR at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue declined 21.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at 436M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.2800 MYR (bear case) to 0.4700 MYR (bull case); at 0.2800 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 36%, 5085 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E 0.2500 MYR 0.3500 MYR 0.4600 MYR 68
P/E Multiple 0.3500 MYR 0.4600 MYR 0.5800 MYR 63
Residual Income 0.6700 MYR 0.6100 MYR 0.4200 MYR 61
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1500 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2100 MYR 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3500 MYR 0.4600 MYR 0.5800 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.2800 MYR 0.3800 MYR 0.4700 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.2800 MYR 0.3800 MYR 0.4700 MYR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5300 MYR 0.7100 MYR 1.06 MYR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.6700 MYR 0.6100 MYR 0.4200 MYR 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.2500 MYR 0.3500 MYR 0.4600 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.7100 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.1800 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 219M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -21.0%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow −1.4M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 17.5
More key figures
Operating margin -18.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.0200 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) +145%
Net debt 436M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 33
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mudajaya Group Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in civil engineering and building construction activities in Malaysia and China. It operates through the Construction, Trading and Manufacturing, Property, and Power segments.

Full company description

Mudajaya Group Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in civil engineering and building construction activities in Malaysia and China. It operates through the Construction, Trading and Manufacturing, Property, and Power segments. The company undertakes engineering, construction work, and equipment and construction materials procurement; trades construction materials and manufacturing of construction related products; conventional construction contracts for government, quasi-government, and the private sector; and contracts comprising highways, roads, bridges, power stations, buildings, infrastructure, marine structures, dams and retaining structures, water supply works, drainage and sewerage works. It is also involved in the development of residential and commercial properties and rental; sale of power energy and facilities management; production of ready-mixed concrete; manufacturing of precast concrete products; and trading of construction related materials, such as steel bars, quarry products, PC strands, wire mesh, ironmongeries, sanitary wares and tap fittings, and steel structures. Mudajaya Group Berhad was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mudajaya Group reported revenue of 231M MYR in FY2025 versus 251M MYR in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 11.8M MYR in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 8/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
231M MYR
Latest YoY
−38.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.1%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 251M MYR
FY22 305M MYR
FY23 461M MYR
FY24 373M MYR
FY25 231M MYR
Net income −1.2%/yr
FY21 12.3M MYR
FY22 14.5M MYR
FY23 −48.5M MYR
FY24 87.1M MYR
FY25 11.8M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mudajaya Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5085

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 9 · sector 26
HEALTH 73 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mudajaya Group (5085) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3800 MYR versus a price of 0.2800 MYR, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5085?
Our model-based fair value for Mudajaya Group is 0.3800 MYR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.2800 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5085?
Mudajaya Group has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mudajaya Group (5085)?
Mudajaya Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 219M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5085?
The net profit margin of Mudajaya Group is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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