Citra Nusa Holdings (5104) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · MY · Market cap 28.7M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 0.0298 MYR to 0.0320 MYR (+7.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +14.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0360 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (0.0320 MYR to 0.0360 MYR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0350 MYR – 0.2450 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0320 MYR – 0.0360 MYR · the 0.0400 MYR price screens above the 0.0320 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Citra Nusa Holdings (5104) currently trades at 0.0400 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0320 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Citra Nusa Holdings generated revenue of 58.2M MYR at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0320 MYR (bear case) to 0.0360 MYR (bull case); at 0.0400 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -20%, 5104 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.0600 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.0100 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Citra Nusa Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, provides provision of management services in Canada, Cambodia, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Marketing and Trading, Manufacturing, and Others.
Full company description
Citra Nusa Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, provides provision of management services in Canada, Cambodia, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Marketing and Trading, Manufacturing, and Others. The company manufactures, trades in, and packages various foodstuffs, beverages, household, groceries, and personal care products, as well as operates food and beverages outlets. It also sells and distributes health care, consumer products, food ingredients, coffee, and other related beverage products. It serves its customers through a network of branches and sales points, as well as distribution centers. The company was formerly known as CNI Holdings Berhad and changed its name to Citra Nusa Holdings Berhad in May 2021. Citra Nusa Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia. Citra Nusa Holdings Berhad operates as a subsidiary of Marvellous Heights Sdn Bhd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Citra Nusa Holdings reported revenue of 61.1M MYR in FY2025 versus 74.1M MYR in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 899K MYR in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
5104 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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