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Sarup Industries Limited (514412) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Sarup Industries Limited ₹107, price ₹108, upside -0.9%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Sep 24, 2026
Sarup Industries Limited
514412 · BSELow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value ₹106.94 · Fairly valued (−0.9%)
!Quality 46/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (FY2026)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹13.30 – ₹200.95 · fair‑value band ₹80.20 – ₹133.67 · the ₹107.90 price screens above the ₹106.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Sarup Industries Limited manufactures and sells footwear for men and Women in India. It company offers shoes, uppers, soles, and tanneries. The company also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Sarup Tanneries Limited and changed its name to Sarup Industries Limited.
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Sarup Industries Limited manufactures and sells footwear for men and Women in India. It company offers shoes, uppers, soles, and tanneries. The company also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Sarup Tanneries Limited and changed its name to Sarup Industries Limited. Sarup Industries Limited was founded in 1951 and is based in Jalandhar, India.
Stock analysis
Sarup Industries Limited (514412) currently trades at ₹107.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹106.94, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹106.84 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the ₹107.90 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹52.23, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹80.20 (bear) to ₹133.67 (bull), the price of ₹107.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sarup Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹161M in FY2026 versus ₹122M in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹5.7M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹97.6M (≈ $1.0M) · EPS (TTM) ₹−100,000 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Free cash flow ₹2.2M · Net debt ₹369M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −1%, 514412 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹80.20
Fair Value ₹106.94
Bull ₹133.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Graham-Dodd
₹42.73
₹52.23
₹58.76
67
Growth-Adj P/E
₹73.10
₹104.42
₹135.75
67
P/E Multiple
₹103.70
₹138.26
₹172.83
63
All 4 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹42.73
₹52.23
₹58.76
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹103.70
₹138.26
₹172.83
63
P/S Multiple
₹80.13
₹106.84
₹133.55
58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹73.10
₹104.42
₹135.75
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Profitability
21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.9% (2021) → 5.8% (2026)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+77.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +70.5% a year for the price.
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Compare Sarup Industries Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Footwear” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3649 stocks
Beats the sector median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| LEHAR LEHAR | ₹206.90 | ₹236.02 | +14% |
| ALWN ALWN | €11.84 | €12.25 | +3% |
| BYLOT BYLOT | €1.12 | €0.6300 | −44% |
| RAJPALAYAM RAJPALAYAM | ₹737.05 | ₹1,586 | +115% |
| VIRAT VIRAT | ₹333.70 | ₹50.40 | −85% |
| IST Limited 508807 | ₹635.00 | ₹711.94 | +12% |
| SWISSMLTRY SWISSMLTRY | ₹14.28 | ₹5.44 | −62% |
| VTMLTD VTMLTD | ₹38.25 | ₹22.16 | −42% |
| NICCOPAR NICCOPAR | ₹80.96 | ₹16.61 | −79% |
| BHATIA BHATIA | ₹38.54 | ₹20.85 | −46% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Sarup Industries Limited (514412) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹106.94 versus a price of ₹107.90, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 514412?
Our model-based fair value for Sarup Industries Limited is ₹106.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹107.90.
What is the quality score of 514412?
Sarup Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹106.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹80.20, optimistic scenario ₹133.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sarup Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹106.94, about −1% upside versus a price of ₹107.90 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹80.20, optimistic scenario ₹133.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sarup Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +77.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 514412 use?
Our models discount Sarup Industries Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sarup Industries Limited that is +77.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sarup Industries Limited (514412) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sarup Industries Limited grew +10.0 % a year. The price currently implies +77.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sarup Industries Limited (514412) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sarup Industries Limited (+77.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.62 %: that much free cash flow Sarup Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sarup Industries Limited it is ₹106.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹107.90. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sarup Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 514412 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹107.90, fair value ₹106.94, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 514412?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹107.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹106.94). For Sarup Industries Limited the two are ₹0.9600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sarup Industries Limited worth?
The market values Sarup Industries Limited at about ₹97.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹107.90; our models calculate a fair value of ₹106.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 514412?
Our models span a range for Sarup Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹80.20, base ₹106.94, optimistic ₹133.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹107.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sarup Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 514412 from its 52-week high?
Sarup Industries Limited trades at ₹107.90, about 46% below its 52-week high of ₹200.95 and 29% above the low of ₹83.50 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹106.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sarup Industries Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value LEHAR, ALWN, BYLOT, RAJPALAYAM, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sarup Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹107.90, calculated fair value ₹106.94 (−1%), Quality Score 46/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 514412 calculated?
We run Sarup Industries Limited through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹106.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sarup Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ₹107.90. Our model-based fair value is ₹106.94, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sarup Industries Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sarup Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
The market capitalisation of Sarup Industries Limited is ₹97.6M (≈ $1.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
Earnings per share at Sarup Industries Limited are ₹−100,000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
The net margin of Sarup Industries Limited is 3.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sarup Industries Limited (514412)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sarup Industries Limited is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Sarup Industries Limited (514412) carry?
The net debt of Sarup Industries Limited is ₹369M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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