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JCY International Bhd (5161) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of JCY International Bhd MYR 0.16, price MYR 0.53, upside -69.8%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · MY · ISIN MYL5161OO004

JI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

JCY International Bhd

5161 · KLSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.1600 MYR · Strongly overvalued (−70%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -21.8% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.8950 MYR 0.1200 MYR Fair Value 0.1600 MYR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1200 MYR – 0.8950 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1400 MYR – 0.2100 MYR · the 0.5300 MYR price screens above the 0.1600 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

JCY International Berhad engages in the manufacturing of precision components and sub-assembly products in Malaysia, Thailand, and internationally.

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JCY International Berhad engages in the manufacturing of precision components and sub-assembly products in Malaysia, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers LED light bulbs, solar micro inverters, baseplates, solid state drive enclosures, covers, heat sinks, prototype hog outs, hard disk drive covers, separator plates, steel connector plates, actuator arm bodies, steel connectors, actuator pivot flex circuit assemblies, and form-in-place gaskets. It also provides various support services, including tool room, tool design, and hog out/prototyping; die casting, CNC precision machining, precision stamping, extrusion machining, electro-deposition coating, chemical polishing, passivation, FIPG plotting, and EMS and cleanroom assembly; and lab and measurement equipment. In addition, it is involved in the manufacturing and trading of hard disk drive, mechanical, and automotive components; die casting and precision engineering; and provision of labor management services. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Johor Bahru, Malaysia. JCY International Berhad operates as a subsidiary of YKY Investments Ltd.

Stock analysis

JCY International Bhd (5161) currently trades at 0.5300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1600 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 231.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.1900 MYR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 0.5300 MYR price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 0.1800 MYR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.1400 MYR (bear) to 0.2100 MYR (bull), the price of 0.5300 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

JCY International Bhd reported revenue of 478M MYR in FY2025 versus 1.1B MYR in FY2021, a compound −18.0%/yr. Reported net income was −62.9M MYR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1B MYR (≈ $277M) · P/S ratio 1.54 · EPS (TTM) −0.0500 MYR · Net margin −13.2% · Return on equity −18.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% · Operating margin −17.0% · Revenue (TTM) 520M MYR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −70%, 5161 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1400 MYR Fair Value 0.1600 MYR Bull 0.2100 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.1400 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2300 MYR 80
Growth DCF 0.1500 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2300 MYR 77
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1400 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2500 MYR 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1400 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2300 MYR 80
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1400 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2500 MYR 71
10Y Revenue Exit 0.1400 MYR 0.1700 MYR 0.2000 MYR 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue 0.1400 MYR 0.1900 MYR 0.2500 MYR 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1400 MYR 0.1900 MYR 0.2800 MYR 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1500 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2300 MYR 77
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1400 MYR 0.1900 MYR 0.2500 MYR 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−21.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.8% (2020) → −12.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.9% a year for the price.

5161 screens 231% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 25% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.47× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Lenovo Group 0992 HK$36.92 HK$33.70 −9%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥84.67 ¥35.54 −58%
Everpure, Inc P $110.89 $51.46 −54%
HP Inc HPQ $32.04 $51.90 +62%

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JCY International Bhd · Fair Value
0.1600 MYR −231%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JCY International Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5161

Frequently asked questions

Is JCY International Bhd (5161) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1600 MYR versus a price of 0.5300 MYR, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5161?
Our model-based fair value for JCY International Bhd is 0.1600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5161?
JCY International Bhd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JCY International Bhd (5161)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1400 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2100 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JCY International Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1600 MYR, about −70% upside versus a price of 0.5300 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1400 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2100 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
JCY International Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 520M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into JCY International Bhd (5161)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JCY International Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +28.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -15.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5161 use?
Our models discount JCY International Bhd at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JCY International Bhd that is +28.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JCY International Bhd (5161) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JCY International Bhd grew -15.0 % a year. The price currently implies +28.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JCY International Bhd (5161) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JCY International Bhd (+28.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.63 %: that much free cash flow JCY International Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JCY International Bhd it is 0.1600 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.5300 MYR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JCY International Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5161 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.5300 MYR, fair value 0.1600 MYR, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5161?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1600 MYR). For JCY International Bhd the two are 0.3700 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JCY International Bhd worth?
The market values JCY International Bhd at about 1.1B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.5300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1600 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5161?
Our models span a range for JCY International Bhd: cautious scenario 0.1400 MYR, base 0.1600 MYR, optimistic 0.2100 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.5300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
Balance-sheet figures for JCY International Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −18.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5161 from its 52-week high?
JCY International Bhd trades at 0.5300 MYR, about 6% below its 52-week high of 0.5650 MYR and 86% above the low of 0.2850 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1600 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JCY International Bhd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Western Digital Corporation, Wiwynn Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JCY International Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.5300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1600 MYR (−70%), Quality Score 45/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5161 calculated?
We run JCY International Bhd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1600 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. JCY International Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.5300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1600 MYR, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JCY International Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2100 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of JCY International Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The market capitalisation of JCY International Bhd is 1.1B MYR (≈ $277M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JCY International Bhd is 1.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
Earnings per share at JCY International Bhd are −0.0500 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The net margin of JCY International Bhd is −13.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JCY International Bhd is −18.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JCY International Bhd is −5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JCY International Bhd (5161)?
The operating margin of JCY International Bhd is −17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JCY International Bhd (5161)?
Revenue at JCY International Bhd is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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