MSM Malaysia Holdings (5202) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MY · Market cap 513M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026 — revised from 8.60 MYR to 0.6500 MYR (−92.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 0.6000 MYR – 1.09 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1300 MYR – 1.21 MYR · the 0.6300 MYR price screens below the 0.6500 MYR fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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MSM Malaysia Holdings (5202) currently trades at 0.6300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6500 MYR — implying the stock looks roughly 3.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MSM Malaysia Holdings generated revenue of 2.9B MYR at a net margin of -14.5%. Revenue declined 26.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.5%. Net debt stands at 849M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1300 MYR (bear case) to 1.21 MYR (bull case); at 0.6300 MYR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside — at 3%, 5202 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad, a refined sugar producer, produces, refines, markets, and sells refined sugar products in Malaysia. It provides coarse grain, caster, fine granulated, soft brown, icing, cube, and quality cup pack sugar products. The company also offers sugar premix, fine grain sugar, liquid sugar, molasses, fine syrup, and sucralose and stevia mix. It sells its products through traders, wholesalers, and distributors to companies in the beverage and confectionery industries, hotels, restaurants, food outlets, distilleries, and household consumers, as well as producers of ethanol, animal feed, and yeast. In addition, it exports its products in Vietnam, Myanmar, China, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, Bangladesh, Taiwan, New Zealand, and Indonesia. The company Berhad was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad operates as a subsidiary of FGV Holdings Berhad.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MSM Malaysia Holdings reported revenue of 3.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 2.3B MYR in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was −397M MYR in FY2025.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.