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Kunyue Development Co (5206) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TW · Market cap 3.7B TWD

KD Kunyue Development Co 5206 · TWO
Price22.35 TWD
Fair Value40.99 TWD
Upside+83.4%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 20.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 30.74 TWD – 51.24 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 43.04 TWD to 40.99 TWD (−4.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +7.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 83% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (30.74 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

90.70 TWD 9.92 TWD Fair Value 40.99 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.92 TWD – 90.70 TWD · fair‑value band 30.74 TWD – 51.24 TWD · the 22.35 TWD price screens below the 40.99 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Kunyue Development Co (5206) currently trades at 22.35 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.99 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kunyue Development Co generated revenue of 4.3B TWD at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 44.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. Net debt stands at 9.9B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 30.74 TWD (bear case) to 51.24 TWD (bull case); at 22.35 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 83%, 5206 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 20.94 TWD 27.84 TWD 82.84 TWD 76
P/S Multiple 41.77 TWD 55.69 TWD 69.62 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 30.74 TWD 40.99 TWD 51.24 TWD 55
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple 41.77 TWD 55.69 TWD 69.62 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 30.74 TWD 40.99 TWD 51.24 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 66.61 TWD 88.99 TWD 111.36 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 52.74 TWD 70.50 TWD 88.26 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 36.50 TWD 52.37 TWD 68.23 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.25 TWD 13.73 TWD 20.49 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20.94 TWD 27.84 TWD 82.84 TWD 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (55.69 TWD) versus Asset-Based (13.73 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.3B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +44.7%
Net margin 20.0%
Return on equity 23.1%
Free cash flow −1.3B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 6.2
More key figures
Operating margin 31.3%
EPS (TTM) 3.28 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +179%
Net debt 9.9B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kunyue Development Co., Ltd. engages in the construction and leasing of residential buildings and commercial buildings in Taiwan. It operates in two segments, Development and Construction. The company is involved in land development, building construction, residential development, house sales, and customer service activities.

Full company description

Kunyue Development Co., Ltd. engages in the construction and leasing of residential buildings and commercial buildings in Taiwan. It operates in two segments, Development and Construction. The company is involved in land development, building construction, residential development, house sales, and customer service activities. It also offers structural, hydropower, waterproof, and other engineering services. In addition, the company is involved in real estate development; and civil construction business. Kunyue Development Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kunyue Development Co reported revenue of 3.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was 590M TWD in FY2025, compounding +63.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.8B TWD
Latest YoY
+55.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Revenue +18.2%/yr
FY21 1.9B TWD
FY22 397M TWD
FY23 3.4B TWD
FY24 2.4B TWD
FY25 3.8B TWD
Net income +63.1%/yr
FY21 83.5M TWD
FY22 −104M TWD
FY23 358M TWD
FY24 322M TWD
FY25 590M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kunyue Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5206

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +83% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 45% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.85× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 92 · sector 10
HEALTH 86 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kunyue Development Co (5206) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.99 TWD versus a price of 22.35 TWD, about +83% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5206?
Our model-based fair value for Kunyue Development Co is 40.99 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 22.35 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5206?
Kunyue Development Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kunyue Development Co (5206)?
Kunyue Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5206?
The net profit margin of Kunyue Development Co is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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