Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sunway Construction Group Bhd MYR 8.20, price MYR 7.57, upside +8.3%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Sunway Construction Group Berhad operates as a construction company in Malaysia, Singapore, India, Trinidad and Tobago, and the United Arab Emirates. It operates through Construction and Precast Concrete segments.
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Sunway Construction Group Berhad operates as a construction company in Malaysia, Singapore, India, Trinidad and Tobago, and the United Arab Emirates. It operates through Construction and Precast Concrete segments. The Construction segment provides turnkey, construction related, civil engineering, building works, geotechnical services, and related products, hire of heavy machineries, mechanical and engineering works, sustainable energy, façade engineering and consultancy services and transportation agent. The Precast Concrete segment provides construction engineering and sub-contracting works for precast fabrication; manufacturing and distribution of precast components and building materials. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Subang Jaya, Malaysia. Sunway Construction Group Berhad is a subsidiary of Sunway Holdings Berhad.
Stock analysis
Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) currently trades at 7.57 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.20 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 7.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 14.81 MYR per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the 7.57 MYR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 1.88 MYR, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 5.74 MYR (bear) to 10.64 MYR (bull), the price of 7.57 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sunway Construction Group Bhd reported revenue of 5.3B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound +32.6%/yr. Reported net income was 362M MYR in FY2025, compounding +33.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 9.9B MYR (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 24.4 · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) 0.3100 MYR · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 45.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 8%, 5263 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5.74 MYRFair Value 8.20 MYRBull 10.64 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0066 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.26% vs 11%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
2025 sits 146% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.5% a year for the price and +9.0% for the forecasts.
Compare Sunway Construction Group Bhd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)45% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−27% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunway Construction Group Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5263
Frequently asked questions
Is Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.20 MYR versus a price of 7.57 MYR, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5263?
Our model-based fair value for Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 8.20 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.57 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5263?
Sunway Construction Group Bhd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.20 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.74 MYR, optimistic scenario 10.64 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunway Construction Group Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.20 MYR, about +8% upside versus a price of 7.57 MYR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 5.74 MYR, optimistic scenario 10.64 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Sunway Construction Group Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sunway Construction Group Bhd pay a dividend?
Sunway Construction Group Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.98% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sunway Construction Group Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -14.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5263 use?
Our models discount Sunway Construction Group Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sunway Construction Group Bhd that is -14.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sunway Construction Group Bhd grew +28.0 % a year. The price currently implies -14.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sunway Construction Group Bhd (-14.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.88 %: that much free cash flow Sunway Construction Group Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunway Construction Group Bhd it is 8.20 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 7.57 MYR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunway Construction Group Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5263 trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.57 MYR, fair value 8.20 MYR, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5263?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.57 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.20 MYR). For Sunway Construction Group Bhd the two are 0.6250 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunway Construction Group Bhd worth?
The market values Sunway Construction Group Bhd at about 9.9B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 7.57 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 8.20 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5263?
Our models span a range for Sunway Construction Group Bhd: cautious scenario 5.74 MYR, base 8.20 MYR, optimistic 10.64 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 7.57 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5263?
Sunway Construction Group Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.20 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 2.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 1.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 5263?
The PEG ratio of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 0.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunway Construction Group Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 45.4%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5263 from its 52-week high?
Sunway Construction Group Bhd trades at 7.57 MYR, about 9% below its 52-week high of 8.29 MYR and 47% above the low of 5.14 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.20 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunway Construction Group Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunway Construction Group Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 7.57 MYR, calculated fair value 8.20 MYR (+8%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5263 calculated?
We run Sunway Construction Group Bhd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.20 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sunway Construction Group Bhd currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 7.57 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 8.20 MYR, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sunway Construction Group Bhd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (5.74 MYR to 10.64 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) come from?
Earnings per share at Sunway Construction Group Bhd grew +7.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.4 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sunway Construction Group Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The market capitalisation of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 9.9B MYR (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 1.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Earnings per share at Sunway Construction Group Bhd are 0.3100 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The dividend yield of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 4.0% (payout 97.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The net margin of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 6.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 45.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
The operating margin of Sunway Construction Group Bhd is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Revenue at Sunway Construction Group Bhd is growing −27.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263)?
Earnings per share at Sunway Construction Group Bhd are growing +52.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263) hold?
Sunway Construction Group Bhd holds more cash than debt, 1.7B MYR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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