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Cosco (India) Limited (530545) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹304M

CI Cosco (India) Limited 530545 · BSE
Price₹195.80
Fair Value₹47.72
Upside-75.6%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ₹30.79 – ₹51.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹51.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹408.70 ₹97.70 Fair Value ₹47.72 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹97.70 – ₹408.70 · fair‑value band ₹30.79 – ₹51.32 · the ₹195.80 price screens above the ₹47.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cosco (India) Limited (530545) currently trades at ₹195.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹47.72, implying the stock looks roughly 75.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cosco (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹1.2B at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at ₹586M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹30.79 (bear case) to ₹51.32 (bull case); at ₹195.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -76%, 530545 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹143.70 ₹208.37 ₹288.69 80
Residual Income ₹81.98 ₹75.80 ₹54.54 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹94.03 ₹150.01 ₹214.66 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹142.41 ₹216.53 ₹314.49 38
Owner Earnings ₹13.96 ₹32.28 ₹56.49 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹94.03 ₹147.80 ₹213.96 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹105.55 ₹169.22 ₹241.34 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹56.65 ₹78.36 ₹99.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹109.90 ₹160.69 ₹224.83 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹119.00 ₹174.23 ₹243.80 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹90.56 ₹116.79 ₹145.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹16.42 ₹49.68 ₹65.89 54
Lynch FV ₹10.60 ₹15.14 ₹19.69 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹10.60 ₹15.14 ₹19.69 46
EPV ₹46.81 ₹57.04 ₹65.57 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹30.79 ₹41.06 ₹51.32 63
P/S Multiple ₹30.79 ₹41.06 ₹51.32 58
P/B Multiple ₹30.79 ₹41.06 ₹51.32 55
EV/EBIT ₹81.20 ₹117.67 ₹154.14 53
EV/EBITDA ₹95.22 ₹136.37 ₹177.51 54
EV/Revenue ₹66.61 ₹107.25 ₹147.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹62.16 ₹83.29 ₹124.32 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹143.70 ₹208.37 ₹288.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹94.03 ₹150.01 ₹214.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹81.98 ₹75.80 ₹54.54 76
ROIC Compounder ₹46.81 ₹57.04 ₹65.57 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹25.82 ₹36.89 ₹47.95 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹150.01) versus Earnings-Based (₹15.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.1%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow ₹76.1M FY2026
P/E ratio 20.6 as of Jul 4, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 4.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹4.29
EPS growth (YoY) +127%
Net debt ₹586M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cosco (India) Limited manufactures and sells sports goods in India and internationally. The company also trades in health equipment and fitness accessories. It operates through two segments, Own Manufactured Products and Traded Goods.

Full company description

Cosco (India) Limited manufactures and sells sports goods in India and internationally. The company also trades in health equipment and fitness accessories. It operates through two segments, Own Manufactured Products and Traded Goods. The company provides grips, nets, rackets, shuttle cocks, strings, and synthetic court for badminton; back boards, balls, and nets for basketball; bats, adbo and elbow guards, batting gloves and leg guards, grips, helmets, keeping gloves and leg guards, kit bags, leather balls, nets, and thigh guards for cricket; and balls, goal keeper gloves, nets, shin guards, and soccer shoes for football. It also offers jogging/court shoes; helmets, inline and roller skates, protective kits, and skate boards; hand, net, rugby, shooting, throw, and water polo balls; grips, racket, and strings for squash; swimming caps and goggles; balls, bats, blades, robots, rubbers, synthetic courts, shoes, and table for table tennis; balls, grips, nets, rackets, and strings for tennis; and balls and nets for volleyball. In addition, the company provides commercial cardio, domestic fitness products, semi commercial cardio, and strength equipment. Further, it offers accessories, including AB wheels/rollers, ankle/wrist weights, gym benches, door gyms/pushup bars/hand grips, dumbbells/gym balls, gloves, mats/socks/blocks/equipment bags, supporters/belts, tubes/expanders/bands/ropes, and water bottles; bag and ball, bench, recovery, strength, training, and yoga accessories. Cosco (India) Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Cosco (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹1.9B in FY2026 versus ₹1.4B in FY2022, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.0M in FY2026, compounding −14.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.9B
Latest YoY
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY22 ₹1.4B
FY23 ₹1.5B
FY24 ₹1.8B
FY25 ₹1.7B
FY26 ₹1.9B
Net income −14.9%/yr
FY22 ₹19.2M
FY23 ₹6.8M
FY24 ₹32.1M
FY25 ₹7.8M
FY26 ₹10.0M

530545 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cosco (India) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/530545

Peer Group

Other · 373 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 18 · sector 0
HEALTH 86 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Lupin Limited 500257 ₹2,265 ₹1,983 -12%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Cosco (India) Limited (530545) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹47.72 versus a price of ₹195.80, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 530545?
Our model-based fair value for Cosco (India) Limited is ₹47.72 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹195.80.
What is the quality score of 530545?
Cosco (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cosco (India) Limited (530545)?
Cosco (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 530545?
The net profit margin of Cosco (India) Limited is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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