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Cupid Limited (530843) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Cupid Limited ₹370, price ₹313, upside +18.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Cupid Limited
530843 · BSESpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value ₹370.31 · Undervalued (+18.4%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 23.8% net margin (TTM)
!1.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Wide moat 89/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1.93 – ₹312.90 · fair‑value band ₹219.71 – ₹481.40 · the ₹312.90 price screens below the ₹370.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Cupid Limited designs, manufactures, and supplies male and female condoms in India and internationally. The company also offers water based lubricant jellies; and hand sanitizers. In addition, it provides contract manufacturing services. The company was formerly known as Cupid Condom Limited and changed its name to Cupid Limited in January 2006.
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Cupid Limited designs, manufactures, and supplies male and female condoms in India and internationally. The company also offers water based lubricant jellies; and hand sanitizers. In addition, it provides contract manufacturing services. The company was formerly known as Cupid Condom Limited and changed its name to Cupid Limited in January 2006. Cupid Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Nashik, India.
Stock analysis
Cupid Limited (530843) currently trades at ₹312.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹370.31, implying the stock looks roughly 15.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹586.33 per share, and 9 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹312.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹171.89, and 6 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹219.71 (bear) to ₹481.40 (bull), the price of ₹312.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cupid Limited reported revenue of ₹1.8B in FY2025 versus ₹1.4B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹409M in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.8B (≈ $28.6M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 1.73 · EPS (TTM) ₹25.23 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 22.3% · Return on equity 31.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 629% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 18%, 530843 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹219.71
Fair Value ₹370.31
Bull ₹481.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹20.73 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹233.96
₹271.97
₹371.70
76
Owner Earnings
₹283.04
₹468.67
₹780.75
72
EPV
₹210.56
₹236.81
₹259.45
70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
₹283.04
₹468.67
₹780.75
72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹208.45
₹978.93
₹1,346
64
Lynch FV
₹259.22
₹370.31
₹481.40
61
PEG = 1.0
₹259.22
₹370.31
₹481.40
57
EPV
₹210.56
₹236.81
₹259.45
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹482.81
₹643.75
₹804.69
63
P/S Multiple
₹165.11
₹220.15
₹275.19
58
P/B Multiple
₹390.85
₹521.13
₹651.41
55
EV/EBIT
₹400.43
₹519.12
₹637.81
63
EV/EBITDA
₹349.36
₹451.03
₹552.70
64
EV/Revenue
₹188.82
₹250.74
₹312.65
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹128.28
₹171.89
₹256.55
51
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹233.96
₹271.97
₹371.70
76
ROIC Compounder
₹210.56
₹236.81
₹263.47
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹410.43
₹586.33
₹762.23
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Profitability
58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
17
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−56.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−57.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 20%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 47.8%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 235 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $86.52 | $56.16 | −35% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹1,836 | ₹775.25 | −58% |
| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $17.80 | $12.72 | −29% |
| The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL | $90.19 | $44.21 | −51% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB | $98.77 | $83.77 | −15% |
| Henkel AG HEN | €66.35 | €82.61 | +25% |
| Church & Dwight Co CHD | $95.62 | $65.04 | −32% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €75.40 | €69.09 | −8% |
| Puig Brands, S.A PUIG | €17.84 | €24.28 | +36% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹781.35 | ₹493.84 | −37% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Cupid Limited (530843) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹370.31 versus a price of ₹312.90, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 530843?
Our model-based fair value for Cupid Limited is ₹370.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹312.90.
What is the quality score of 530843?
Cupid Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cupid Limited (530843)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹370.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹219.71, optimistic scenario ₹481.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cupid Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹370.31, about +18% upside versus a price of ₹312.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹219.71, optimistic scenario ₹481.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cupid Limited (530843)?
Cupid Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cupid Limited pay a dividend?
Cupid Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cupid Limited (530843)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cupid Limited it is ₹370.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹312.90. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cupid Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 530843 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹312.90, fair value ₹370.31, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 530843?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹312.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹370.31). For Cupid Limited the two are ₹57.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cupid Limited worth?
The market values Cupid Limited at about ₹2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹312.90; our models calculate a fair value of ₹370.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 530843?
Our models span a range for Cupid Limited: cautious scenario ₹219.71, base ₹370.31, optimistic ₹481.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹312.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 530843?
Cupid Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹370.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cupid Limited (530843)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cupid Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 31.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 530843 from its 52-week high?
Cupid Limited trades at ₹312.90, at its 52-week high of ₹312.90 and 629% above the low of ₹42.92 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹370.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cupid Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cupid Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹312.90, calculated fair value ₹370.31 (+18%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 530843 calculated?
We run Cupid Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹370.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cupid Limited currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹312.90. Our model-based fair value is ₹370.31, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cupid Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (₹219.71 to ₹481.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Cupid Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The market capitalisation of Cupid Limited is ₹2.8B (≈ $28.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cupid Limited is 1.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cupid Limited (530843)?
Earnings per share at Cupid Limited are ₹25.23 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The dividend yield of Cupid Limited is 1.4% (payout 17.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The net margin of Cupid Limited is 22.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cupid Limited is 31.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cupid Limited (530843)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cupid Limited is 15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cupid Limited (530843)?
The operating margin of Cupid Limited is 29.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cupid Limited (530843)?
Revenue at Cupid Limited is growing −30.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cupid Limited (530843)?
Earnings per share at Cupid Limited are growing −35.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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