Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Alfa Ica (India) Limited ₹79.92, price ₹75.30, upside +6.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹22.00 – ₹117.24 · fair‑value band ₹59.94 – ₹99.90 · the ₹75.30 price screens below the ₹79.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Alfa Ica (India) Limited manufactures and sells high pressure laminate sheets and compacts in India and internationally.
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Alfa Ica (India) Limited manufactures and sells high pressure laminate sheets and compacts in India and internationally. The company offers compact, post formable, anti-bacterial, interior grade, flooring grade, exterior grade, tough gloss, color core, and laboratory grade laminates, as well as real metal foils, tile panels, dry wipe boards, and fire retardants. It also provides laminate sheets for use in furniture coverings, wall paneling, partitions, door coverings, shower panels, interior wall paneling, exterior wall cladding, green chalk boards, white marker boards, kitchen tops and backsplashes, cubicle partition panels, anti-fingerprint laminates, table tops, and various other areas. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973) currently trades at ₹75.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹79.92, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹125.21 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹75.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹29.43, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹59.94 (bear) to ₹99.90 (bull), the price of ₹75.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Alfa Ica (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹866M in FY2026 versus ₹800M in FY2022, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.0M in FY2026, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹80.8M (≈ $839K) · P/E ratio 8.0 · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) ₹2.84 · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5% · Operating margin 5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 6%, 530973 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹59.94Fair Value ₹79.92Bull ₹99.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.45 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.0% vs 5.4%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price.
Compare Alfa Ica (India) Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+6.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.4% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹79.92 versus a price of ₹75.30, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 530973?
Our model-based fair value for Alfa Ica (India) Limited is ₹79.92 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹75.30.
What is the quality score of 530973?
Alfa Ica (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹79.92 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹59.94, optimistic scenario ₹99.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alfa Ica (India) Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹79.92, about +6% upside versus a price of ₹75.30 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹59.94, optimistic scenario ₹99.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Alfa Ica (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹491M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alfa Ica (India) Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 530973 use?
Our models discount Alfa Ica (India) Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alfa Ica (India) Limited that is +5.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alfa Ica (India) Limited grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies +5.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alfa Ica (India) Limited (+5.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.91 %: that much free cash flow Alfa Ica (India) Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alfa Ica (India) Limited it is ₹79.92 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹75.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alfa Ica (India) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 530973 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹75.30, fair value ₹79.92, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 530973?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹75.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹79.92). For Alfa Ica (India) Limited the two are ₹4.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alfa Ica (India) Limited worth?
The market values Alfa Ica (India) Limited at about ₹80.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹75.30; our models calculate a fair value of ₹79.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 530973?
Our models span a range for Alfa Ica (India) Limited: cautious scenario ₹59.94, base ₹79.92, optimistic ₹99.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹75.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 530973?
Alfa Ica (India) Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹79.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alfa Ica (India) Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.4%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 530973 from its 52-week high?
Alfa Ica (India) Limited trades at ₹75.30, about 17% below its 52-week high of ₹90.45 and 11% above the low of ₹67.78 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹79.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alfa Ica (India) Limited?
From the same area (Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alfa Ica (India) Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹75.30, calculated fair value ₹79.92 (+6%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 530973 calculated?
We run Alfa Ica (India) Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹79.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Alfa Ica (India) Limited currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹75.30. Our model-based fair value is ₹79.92, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alfa Ica (India) Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Alfa Ica (India) Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The market capitalisation of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is ₹80.8M (≈ $839K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is 0.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Earnings per share at Alfa Ica (India) Limited are ₹2.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The net margin of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is 2.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
The operating margin of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Revenue at Alfa Ica (India) Limited is growing −20.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973)?
Earnings per share at Alfa Ica (India) Limited are growing −3.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Alfa Ica (India) Limited (530973) carry?
The net debt of Alfa Ica (India) Limited is ₹166M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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